XD INC(HK:02400) CMS·2025-06-06 09:40Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [2][5]. Core Views - The new game "Ethereal Reboot Day" has launched its international version on June 5, and the overall performance of older games remains stable. The company is expected to compensate for the natural decline in revenue from older games with new game launches, leading to a high degree of certainty in overall growth this year [1][5]. - The company has a robust pipeline of self-developed games, with significant contributions expected from titles like "Let's Go Muffin" and "Heart Town" in 2025, alongside several upcoming releases [5][6]. - The TapTap platform continues to expand, with a record high of 44 million monthly active users (MAU) in 2024, and revenue growth to 1.578 billion yuan. The platform's unique "no cooperation & zero revenue sharing" principle has attracted many developers [5][6]. - Financial projections indicate that the company's revenue is expected to reach 5.393 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 1.027 billion yuan, reflecting a 27% year-on-year growth [6][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 3.389 billion yuan, with a significant increase to 5.012 billion yuan in 2024, and further growth to 5.393 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 48% and 8% respectively [6][8]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.027 billion yuan in 2025, with a corresponding PE ratio of 17.2x [6][8]. - The gross margin is projected to improve from 61.0% in 2023 to 71.5% in 2025, indicating enhanced profitability [8]. Key Financial Ratios - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 30.7% in 2025, down from 32.3% in 2024, but still reflecting strong profitability [8]. - The debt-to-asset ratio is projected to decrease from 30.8% in 2024 to 25.3% in 2025, indicating improved financial stability [8]. - The current ratio is expected to rise from 3.1 in 2024 to 3.8 in 2025, suggesting better liquidity [8].