HTSC·2025-06-06 10:50Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 79.37 [8][9]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a value stock that combines stability and growth potential, with a focus on both stable and growth-oriented businesses [1]. - The stable business segment is expected to see steady profit contributions as capital investments solidify, despite a slight decline in electricity prices at the Yangjiang Nuclear Power Station [2]. - The growth segment is driven by successful launches of zero-carbon projects in mainland China and India, which are anticipated to inject growth potential into the company's performance [3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Stable Business - In Q1, electricity sales in Hong Kong decreased by 2.6% year-on-year to 7.091 billion kWh, influenced by weather and the leap year in 2024. However, the company remains optimistic about profit contributions due to a regulated profit margin of 8% on net fixed assets and a high certainty in capital expenditures projected at HKD 52.9 billion from 2024 to 2028 [2]. Growth Business - The company has expanded its zero-carbon asset portfolio, with projects such as the 150MW wind farm in Guangxi and the 90MW solar project in Jiangsu successfully launched in Q1. The investment plan for zero-carbon projects aims to double renewable energy capacity in mainland China from approximately 3GW to 6GW by 2029, and increase renewable energy and storage capacity in India and Australia significantly [3]. Dividend and Financial Outlook - The company has maintained its dividend per share since 1987, with a proposed interim dividend of HKD 0.63 per share for 2025, consistent with the previous year. The total liquidity is projected to reach HKD 36 billion by the end of 2024, indicating potential for future dividend increases [4]. - The profit forecast for the company estimates net profits of HKD 12.1 billion for 2025, with an EPS of HKD 4.79. The target price reflects a PB ratio of 1.85x for 2025, which is above the historical average of 1.51x, indicating confidence in future earnings growth and dividend enhancement [5].