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中央财政支持城市更新,一二手房成交量萎缩——20250606 房地产行业周报
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-06-08 02:15

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The central government continues to support urban renewal, with 20 cities selected as demonstration cities, while both new and second-hand housing transaction volumes have shrunk [7] - The report emphasizes that stable real estate companies are key investment focuses, particularly those with strong financial health and good performance, such as Yuexiu Property, China Merchants Shekou, Poly Developments, and others [7] Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index rose by 0.86%, while the CSI 300 Index increased by 0.88%, indicating a relative underperformance of the real estate sector [3][12] Industry Fundamentals - In the week of May 30 to June 5, the total transaction volume of new homes in 38 key cities was 21,688 units, a year-on-year decrease of 26.9% and a month-on-month decrease of 27.2% [5][21] - The total transaction area was 218.5 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 34.5% and a month-on-month decrease of 27.9% [5][21] - The inventory of commercial housing in 17 key cities was 187.25 million square meters, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.4% and a depletion cycle of 143.7 weeks [5][51] Land Market Supply and Transactions - In the week of May 26 to June 1, land supply was 35.949 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, with an average supply price of 2,157 yuan per square meter, up 60.3% year-on-year [6] - Land transaction volume was 23.175 million square meters, with a year-on-year increase of 23.2%, and the transaction amount reached 35.71 billion yuan, up 50.7% year-on-year [6] Financing Analysis - Real estate companies issued a total of 6.5 billion yuan in credit bonds in the week of May 30 to June 5, with a year-on-year increase of 12.07% and a month-on-month increase of 11.88% [6]