钢铁周报20250608:焦煤价格反弹,关注淡季需求韧性-20250608
Minsheng Securities·2025-06-08 03:31

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several steel companies, including Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Nanjing Steel, among others [3][4]. Core Insights - The rebound in coking coal prices is noteworthy, with a focus on the resilience of demand during the off-season. The report indicates that domestic steel demand is gradually entering a seasonal decline, while external demand remains uncertain due to tariff adjustments by the U.S. government [3][4]. - The report highlights that the profitability of long-process steel production has increased, with specific profit margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel showing positive changes compared to the previous week [2][3]. - The overall steel production has decreased, with a total output of 8.8 million tons for major steel varieties, reflecting a slight decline from the previous week [2][3]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - As of June 6, 2025, steel prices in Shanghai showed mixed trends, with rebar prices at 3,140 CNY/ton (up 10 CNY), hot-rolled steel at 3,260 CNY/ton (up 60 CNY), and cold-rolled steel remaining stable at 3,580 CNY/ton [1][10]. Production and Inventory - The total production of major steel varieties was 8.8 million tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.47 million tons. Rebar production specifically decreased by 70,500 tons to 2,184,600 tons [2][3]. - Total social inventory of major steel varieties decreased by 16,100 tons to 9,298,600 tons, with rebar inventory dropping by 89,700 tons [2][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the following companies: 1. Baosteel, Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel in the general steel sector 2. CITIC Special Steel, Yongjin Co., and Xianglou New Materials in the special steel sector 3. Jiuli Special Materials, Wujin Stainless Steel, and Youfa Group in the pipe materials sector [3][4].