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中恒电气(002364):掘金HVDC百亿蓝海,御风AI基建全球化

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Zhongheng Electric [1][3]. Core Views - Zhongheng Electric is positioned as a leader in the HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) supply technology in China, with an overall efficiency exceeding 97.5%. The company has a robust supply chain and scalable production capabilities, which are expected to drive performance beyond expectations as market penetration increases [3][62]. - The demand for AI computing power is expected to surge, accelerating the iteration of intelligent computing infrastructure. Zhongheng Electric is well-positioned to benefit from this trend due to its technological barriers in the HVDC field and comprehensive energy solutions [3][62]. - The company has established deep strategic partnerships with major internet giants and is expanding its international presence, particularly in regions such as Africa, West Asia, and Southeast Asia [3][62]. Summary by Sections Financial Forecast and Valuation - The projected total revenue for Zhongheng Electric is expected to grow from 1,555 million yuan in 2023 to 4,581 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.25% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase significantly from 39.36 million yuan in 2023 to 306.05 million yuan in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 170.51% in 2024 [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is anticipated to rise from 0.07 yuan in 2023 to 0.54 yuan in 2027, indicating a strong upward trend in profitability [1]. Competitive Advantages - Zhongheng Electric has a solid foothold in the data center power supply sector, with a revenue increase of 111.05% in its data center power business in 2024, contributing to 34% of total revenue [3][25]. - The company has a high market share in the HVDC sector, with its products widely used across various applications, including internet data centers, third-party colocation, and supercomputing centers [3][65]. - The company is actively pursuing international expansion, with plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Singapore to enhance its global operations [3][68]. Market Outlook - The global market for HVDC is projected to reach 17.7 billion USD by 2027, with a CAGR of 121% from 2024 to 2027, driven by increasing demand for efficient power supply solutions in AI data centers [3][56]. - The report highlights that the domestic HVDC market is currently concentrated, with Zhongheng Electric holding a significant share alongside a few other key players [3][54]. - The transition from traditional UPS systems to HVDC solutions is expected to accelerate, particularly as AI computing power demands increase, positioning Zhongheng Electric favorably in the evolving market landscape [3][42].