Workflow
非银金融行业周报:Circle上市为稳定币发行方提供可参考的市场估值样本-20250608
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-06-08 08:45

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the non-banking financial sector, indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [2]. Core Insights - The listing of Circle, the issuer of the second-largest stablecoin USDC, on the New York Stock Exchange provides a reference market valuation sample for stablecoin issuers. The IPO raised $1.05 billion, with a first-day increase of 168.48% and a closing price of $107.7, reflecting a 247.4% increase from the issue price [2]. - The report highlights the roles of stablecoin issuers, exchanges, and service payment providers in the stablecoin market, suggesting that these entities will play a significant role in market dynamics. It emphasizes the importance of regulatory frameworks in Hong Kong for stablecoin development [2]. - In the brokerage sector, the report notes significant progress with the approval of Central Huijin as the actual controller of eight securities, fund, and futures institutions, which is expected to enhance the financial landscape and resource sharing [2][15]. - The report identifies three investment themes in the brokerage sector: strong head institutions benefiting from improved competition, brokers with high earnings elasticity, and firms with strong international business capabilities [2]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,873.98 with a weekly change of +0.9%, while the non-banking index closed at 1,766.54 with a change of +2.0%. The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported changes of +2.4%, +1.0%, and +2.7% respectively [5][6]. Non-Banking Sector Insights - The insurance sector saw a weekly increase in the Shenwan Insurance II Index by 1.0%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.2 percentage points. The report suggests that the stablecoin market could provide new growth opportunities for fintech companies like ZhongAn Online [2][7]. - The brokerage sector experienced a weekly increase in the Shenwan Brokerage II Index by 2.39%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.51 percentage points. The report notes an increase in market trading activity, with average daily stock turnover reaching 12,090.44 billion yuan, up 10.50% week-on-week [2][14]. Key Individual Stock Announcements - In the insurance sector, notable stock performances included New China Life (+5.9%) and China Life (+4.5%) in A-shares, while in H-shares, New China Life rose by 11.5% [7]. - In the brokerage sector, the top performers included Guotai Junan (+7.7%) and Everbright Securities (+7.1%) [7]. Important Data - As of June 6, 2025, the average daily trading volume in the stock market was 12,090.44 billion yuan, with a year-to-date increase of 31.06% compared to the previous year [14][35]. - The margin trading balance reached 18,116.80 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decrease from the end of the previous year [14][37]. Regulatory Developments - The report notes the approval of Central Huijin as the actual controller of several financial institutions, which is expected to enhance governance and operational efficiency in the sector [15][20]. - The report also highlights the ongoing regulatory focus on supporting technology innovation through capital markets [18].