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汽车行业周报(20250602-20250608):整车、机器人催化频出,全年销量展望乐观-20250608
Huachuang Securities·2025-06-08 12:18

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the automotive sector, particularly for complete vehicles and robotics, with an optimistic outlook for annual sales [2][3]. Core Insights - The automotive sector continues to show weak performance, influenced by previous news regarding price cuts and competition, alongside investor concerns about sales post-subsidy reductions in 2026. However, the report maintains that the risk of a severe price war this year is low and that sales expectations remain optimistic [2][3]. - Positive industry developments include Tesla's robot factory audit, Changan's management upgrade, and Li Auto's weekly sales exceeding 10,000 units, which support better stock performance for related companies [2][3]. Data Tracking - In April, wholesale passenger car sales reached 2.22 million units, a year-on-year increase of 11% but a month-on-month decrease of 10%. Retail sales were 1.59 million units, up 6% year-on-year but down 14% month-on-month [4][21]. - New energy vehicle manufacturers showed significant growth in May, with BYD delivering 382,476 units (up 15% year-on-year), and Li Auto achieving 40,856 units (up 16.7% year-on-year) [4][20]. - The average discount rate in late May rose to 7.8%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from the previous period and 2.9 percentage points year-on-year [4][22]. Industry Research - Recommended stocks include Li Auto and Jianghuai Automobile, with a focus on companies like BAIC Blue Valley, SAIC Motor, Xpeng Motors, and Xiaomi Group. Li Auto is expected to see sales improvements and new model launches, while Xpeng is preparing for the launch of the G7 [6]. - In the components sector, the report recommends Top Group, Haoneng Co., and others, highlighting the growth potential in high-level autonomous driving technologies [6]. - The heavy truck segment is expected to continue its strong performance, with recommendations for Weichai Power and Sinotruk [6]. Market Performance - The automotive sector index decreased by 0.09% this week, ranking 23rd out of 29 sectors. In comparison, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.13% [8][29].