钢铁周报：需求季节性走弱，限产预期托底-20250608

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - Seasonal demand is weakening, but production restrictions are expected to provide support [1] - The report highlights that the overall inventory of five major steel products is 930 thousand tons, with a year-to-date increase of 22.7% [5] - The total inventory at steel mills is 433 thousand tons, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 23.6% [5] - Iron ore port inventory stands at 13.83 million tons, with a year-to-date increase of 6.9% [5] Price Data Summary - The SW Steel Index is at 2,119, with a weekly change of -0.2% and a year-to-date change of 0.8% [3] - Rebar (HRB400 20mm) price is 3,140 CNY/ton, with a weekly change of 0.3% and a year-to-date change of 7.9% [3] - Hot-rolled coil price is 3,230 CNY/ton, with a weekly change of 0.3% and a year-to-date change of 5.6% [3] - Cold-rolled steel price is 3,640 CNY/ton, with a weekly change of 2.8% and a year-to-date change of -11.4% [3] Supply and Demand Summary - The average daily pig iron output is projected to be around 230 thousand tons [9] - The report indicates that the apparent demand for rebar is measured in ten thousand tons [14]