养殖出栏加速，猪价跌破14元

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [4] Core Views - The report highlights that pig prices have dropped below 14 yuan per kilogram, with a current average price of 13.97 yuan per kilogram as of June 8, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 0.51 yuan per kilogram [13][34] - The report indicates a significant increase in pig slaughtering post-Duanwu Festival, with daily average slaughtering volume dropping to 145,800 heads, a week-on-week decrease of 2.21% [16][34] - The average weight of pigs being sold has decreased to 129.17 kg, with a slight week-on-week decline of 0.01 kg [23][34] - The report anticipates increased supply pressure in the short term, with a projected rise in daily average slaughtering rates for June [34] - In the medium term, the report suggests that high-quality pig companies may achieve unexpected profits through increased sales and reduced costs, despite a downward trend in the pig cycle expected by 2025 [34] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The report notes accelerated pig slaughtering and a drop in prices, with the average price falling to 13.91 yuan per kilogram [13][34] - Post-holiday consumption has declined, leading to reduced slaughtering volumes [16][34] - The average weight of pigs sold has decreased, indicating a weakening sentiment among farmers regarding weight gain [23][34] - The report suggests monitoring the industry's weight reduction situation as inventory levels begin to decrease [34] Poultry Sector - The white chicken market has seen a price adjustment, with the average price at 7.32 yuan per kilogram, down 0.05 yuan week-on-week [36][40] - The report highlights the impact of ongoing avian influenza outbreaks on supply, with potential benefits for domestic chicken prices due to import interruptions from Brazil and the U.S. [40] - The egg-laying chicken sector is experiencing high prices for chicks, with the average price at 4.10 yuan per chick, remaining stable week-on-week [40] Seed Industry & Agricultural Products - The report discusses the strengthening of seed industry regulations, which aims to ensure the safety of agricultural production [50] - It notes that soybean meal prices are under pressure, with a current price of 2,940 yuan per ton, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 16 yuan [51] - The report emphasizes the importance of the soybean import situation, particularly in light of U.S.-China trade relations, which could affect future pricing [51]