信用分析周报:信用利差整体小幅波动-20250608
- Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the overall credit spread of AAA - rated entities slightly widened, while the spreads of AA+ electronic and AA pharmaceutical and biological industries significantly compressed, and the credit spreads of bonds in other industries and ratings fluctuated slightly. [2][3][24] - For urban investment bonds, the overall credit spread fluctuated slightly this week, with most regional spreads slightly widening, and the spreads of AA - rated urban investment entities in regions such as Guizhou and Yunnan slightly compressing. [2][27][28] - Regarding industrial bonds, the credit spread showed a pattern of widening at the short - end and slight fluctuation at the long - end this week. [2][31] - For bank capital bonds, the overall credit spread fluctuated slightly this week, and the 5 - year second - tier and perpetual bonds remained strong. [2][35] - It is recommended to continue to focus on the opportunities of 3 - 5 - year industrial bonds with good liquidity and yields above 2% and high - coupon bank second - tier and perpetual bonds this week. [2][41] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary Market 3.1.1 Net Financing Scale - The net financing of traditional credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) was 170 billion yuan this week, a decrease of 72.4 billion yuan compared with last week. The total issuance was 282.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 178 billion yuan, and the total repayment was 112.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 105.6 billion yuan. The net financing of asset - backed securities was 10.4 billion yuan, an increase of 30.3 billion yuan compared with last week. [6] - By product type, the net financing of urban investment bonds was 32.7 billion yuan, an increase of 6.8 billion yuan; that of industrial bonds was 121.4 billion yuan, an increase of 42.9 billion yuan; and that of financial bonds was 15.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 122.1 billion yuan. [6] 3.1.2 Issuance Cost - The issuance interest rates of AA+ and AAA - rated financial bonds decreased significantly this week, while that of AA - rated industrial bonds increased significantly. The changes in the issuance interest rates of other bonds and ratings did not exceed 7BP. [3][13] - Specifically, the issuance interest rate of AA+ - rated financial bonds decreased by 20BP compared with last week, mainly due to the issuance of "25 Great Wall Guorui CP002". The issuance interest rate of AAA - rated financial bonds decreased by 13BP, mainly due to the issuance of "25 Huishang Bank 01". The issuance interest rate of AA - rated industrial bonds increased by 23BP, mainly due to the high - coupon issuance of bonds such as "25 Honghe 03". [13] 3.2 Secondary Market 3.2.1 Trading Volume and Turnover - The trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) decreased by 269.6 billion yuan compared with last week. The trading volume of urban investment bonds was 181.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 39.5 billion yuan; that of industrial bonds was 258 billion yuan, a decrease of 80.6 billion yuan; and that of financial bonds was 311.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 149.5 billion yuan. The trading volume of asset - backed securities was 1.25 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.21 billion yuan. [14] - The overall turnover rate of credit bonds decreased compared with last week. The turnover rate of urban investment bonds was 1.17%, a decrease of 0.26 percentage points; that of industrial bonds was 1.52%, a decrease of 0.48 percentage points; that of financial bonds was 2.18%, a decrease of 1.04 percentage points; and that of asset - backed securities was 0.36%, a decrease of 0.35 percentage points. [15] 3.2.2 Yield - Except for the significant increase in the yield of AA - rated credit bonds over 10 years, the yield fluctuations of credit bonds with different terms and ratings did not exceed 2BP. The yield of AA - rated credit bonds over 10 years increased by 9BP, reaching 3.59%. [19][20] - Taking AA+ - rated 5 - year bonds of each type as an example, the yields of different types of bonds decreased to varying degrees this week. For industrial bonds, the yields of privately - issued and perpetual industrial bonds decreased by 4BP and 3BP respectively. For urban investment bonds, the yield of AA+ - rated 5 - year bonds decreased by less than 1BP. For financial bonds, the yield of commercial bank ordinary bonds increased by less than 1BP, and that of secondary capital bonds increased by 2BP. For asset - backed securities, the yield of AA+ - rated 5 - year securities decreased by 3BP. [20] 3.2.3 Credit Spread - Overall, the credit spread of AAA - rated entities slightly widened this week, while the spreads of AA and AA+ - rated entities in some industries significantly compressed. The spreads of AA+ electronic and AA pharmaceutical and biological industries compressed by 28BP and 25BP respectively, and the credit spread of AA+ leisure services widened by 9BP. The fluctuations of credit spreads of bonds in other industries and ratings did not exceed 5BP. [24] - For urban investment bonds, the overall credit spread fluctuated slightly. The spreads of 0.5 - 1Y, 1 - 3Y, 3 - 5Y, and 5 - 10Y bonds widened by 2BP, 2BP, 1BP, and 2BP respectively, and the spread of bonds over 10 years compressed by less than 1BP. Regionally, most regional spreads slightly widened, and the spreads of AA - rated urban investment entities in Guizhou and Yunnan compressed by 1BP and 4BP respectively. [27][28] - For industrial bonds, the credit spread showed a pattern of widening at the short - end and slight fluctuation at the long - end. The spreads of private and perpetual industrial bonds within 1 year widened by 2 - 5BP, the spreads of 5 - year AA+ private and perpetual industrial bonds compressed by 2BP and 1BP respectively, and the spreads of 10 - year industrial bonds fluctuated slightly. [31] - For bank capital bonds, the overall credit spread fluctuated slightly, showing a pattern of slight widening at the short - end and slight compression at the long - end. For bank secondary capital bonds, the spreads of 1 - year AAA -, AA+, and AA - rated bonds widened by 1BP, 2BP, and 2BP respectively, and the spreads of 10 - year AAA - and AA - rated bonds compressed by 1BP and 1BP respectively. For bank perpetual bonds, the spreads of 1 - year AAA -, AA+, and AA - rated bonds widened by 2BP, 2BP, and 2BP respectively, and the spreads of 10 - year AAA -, AA+, and AA - rated bonds compressed by 1BP, 2BP, and 2BP respectively. The 5 - year second - tier and perpetual bonds remained strong. [35] 3.3 This Week's Bond Market News - The issuer, Guangdong Mengtai High - tech Fiber Co., Ltd., had its entity rating and the rating of its "Mengtai Convertible Bond" downgraded. [2][40]