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精测电子(300567):显示业务逐步修复,半导体业务先进制程加速成长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's revenue in Q1 2025 increased by 64.92% year-on-year, driven by the recovery in the display business and accelerated growth in the semiconductor business [1][22] - The semiconductor business achieved a revenue of 7.68 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 94.65%, with a significant portion of R&D investment focused on this area [1][8] - The display business showed a robust recovery with a revenue of 3.82 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 42.46% year-on-year, supported by emerging applications in AR/VR and OLED technology [2][11] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 25.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.59%, but a net loss of 0.98 billion yuan, down 165.02% year-on-year due to price adjustments in display products and losses in the new energy sector [1][25] - Q1 2025 saw a net profit of 0.38 billion yuan, a significant increase of 336.1% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in profitability [1][25] Semiconductor Business - The semiconductor business generated a revenue of 2.12 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 63.71%, with an order backlog of 16.68 billion yuan, accounting for 59% of total orders [2][8] - The company has successfully delivered advanced process equipment for 14nm and 7nm nodes, with ongoing validation for even more advanced processes [2][8] Display Business - The display business achieved a revenue of 3.82 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 42.46%, with an order backlog of approximately 7.64 billion yuan [2][11] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the maturation of OLED technology and new investments in large-size OLED projects [2][11] R&D Investment - R&D investment in Q1 2025 increased by 11.4% year-on-year, with a focus on the semiconductor sector, which accounted for 50.3% of total R&D spending [3][17] - The company is committed to enhancing its technological capabilities across its business segments, particularly in semiconductor and display detection technologies [3][17] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 32.69 billion yuan, 40.20 billion yuan, and 47.00 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.07 billion yuan, 3.26 billion yuan, and 4.61 billion yuan [33][37] - The projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue from 2025 to 2027 is approximately 29%, 23%, and 17% [33][37]