Guoxin Securities·2025-06-09 02:32Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the transportation industry [1][3][5] Core Views - The logistics sector is benefiting from the introduction of unmanned delivery vehicles, which are expected to reduce costs and improve efficiency in the last mile of delivery [2][47] - The shipping industry is experiencing a divergence in performance, with oil tanker rates rising significantly for smaller vessels while VLCC rates are under pressure due to geopolitical factors [1][20][68] - The air travel sector is entering a low season, but domestic passenger flight volumes remain above 2019 levels, indicating a potential for recovery in pricing and demand [2][40][42] - The express delivery market is seeing strong demand growth, with major players like SF Express and ZTO Express planning to scale up their fleets of unmanned delivery vehicles [2][51] Summary by Sections Shipping Sector - Oil tanker rates have shown significant divergence, with small vessel rates increasing while VLCC rates are under pressure due to geopolitical tensions [1][20] - The report anticipates a rise in shipping rates due to limited new capacity and potential demand recovery, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy [1][68] Air Travel Sector - The overall and domestic passenger flight volumes have decreased slightly, but remain above 2019 levels, indicating resilience in the market [2][40] - The report suggests that domestic airfares may stabilize and recover in 2025, with recommendations for airlines such as Air China and China Southern Airlines [2][42] Express Delivery Sector - The introduction of unmanned delivery vehicles is expected to significantly reduce costs for leading companies in the express delivery market [2][47] - SF Express is projected to maintain a strong growth rate of 15-20% over the next two years, with a PE ratio of approximately 20 times for 2025 [2][51] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a focus on companies with stable operations and potential for steady returns, including SF Express, ZTO Express, and China Merchants Energy [5][27]