Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the smart home industry [6][29]. Core Insights - The smart home industry is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at stimulating consumption through appliance replacement and recycling initiatives, with the number of subsidized appliance categories increasing from 8 to 12 [4][29]. - Technological advancements in IoT, AI, machine learning, and big data are expanding the application boundaries of smart home devices, leading to the creation of high-value innovative products and services [4][29]. - The easing of the US-China tariff conflict is likely to favor Chinese home appliance companies in international markets, while domestic demand is expected to grow due to rising living standards and an aging population [4][29]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In the past two weeks (May 24 - June 6, 2025), the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.10%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.51%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.89%. The smart home index (399996.SZ) increased by 2.58%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 1.48 percentage points [11][12]. - Year-to-date, the smart home index has risen by 2.76%, again outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 1.75 percentage points [11][12]. - Among the smart home index components, the top five stocks by growth in the past two weeks were Shenghong Technology (+32.38%), Cambridge Technology (+23.29%), Xiechuang Data (+19.62%), Craft Home (+16.01%), and Zhongke Lanyun (+11.84%) [14][15]. Industry Policy Tracking - The Ministry of Commerce supports large-scale equipment updates in national economic development zones and encourages the inclusion of foreign trade quality products in the "old-for-new" consumption policy [16][17]. - A draft opinion from the Zhejiang Economic and Information Technology Department proposes to promote foreign trade quality products under the "old-for-new" policy [17]. - The Ministry of Commerce has released an action plan to accelerate the development of smart supply chains, emphasizing the integration of digital technologies [18][19]. Industry News Tracking - In the first five months of 2025, the sales volume of the "old-for-new" consumption policy exceeded 1 trillion yuan, with significant participation in various categories [26][27]. - The first round of subsidy funds for the "old-for-new" program has been exhausted in some regions, indicating strong demand [26][27]. - Aishida plans to invest up to 150 million yuan in Vietnam for the construction of cookware, small appliances, and industrial robot projects [28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the smart home industry will benefit from supportive policies, technological advancements, and increasing domestic demand, maintaining a "Recommended" rating for the industry [4][29].
智能家居行业双周报:多地首轮国补已用完,带动超万亿销售额
Guoyuan Securities·2025-06-09 04:30