基本面高频数据跟踪：乘用车零售回升

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The GSSC Fundamental High - Frequency Index remained stable this week, with an increase of 0.1 points week - on - week and 5.0 points year - on - year, and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. The long - short signal for interest - rate bonds was long, with a signal factor of 5.4% (previous value: 5.8%) [1][9]. - In terms of production, the industrial production high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase, while tire开工率 declined [1][9][16]. - In total demand, the decline in the real - estate sales high - frequency index narrowed year - on - year; the infrastructure investment high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase; the year - on - year increase in the export high - frequency index narrowed; and the consumer high - frequency index maintained a stable year - on - year increase [1][9]. - In terms of prices, the month - on - month CPI forecast remained at - 0.1%, and the month - on - month PPI forecast improved from - 0.2% to - 0.1% [1][10]. - The inventory high - frequency index showed a narrowing year - on - year increase; the transportation high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase; the financing high - frequency index showed an expanding year - on - year increase [2][10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Remained Stable - The current GSSC Fundamental High - Frequency Index was 126.0 points (previous value: 125.9 points), with a year - on - year increase of 5.0 points (previous value: 5.0 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. The long - short signal for interest - rate bonds was long, with a signal factor of 5.4% (previous value: 5.8%) [1][9]. 3.2 Production: Tire开工率 Declined - The industrial production high - frequency index was 125.5 (previous value: 125.4), with a year - on - year increase of 4.8 points (previous value: 4.7 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. Electric furnace开工率 was 64.7% (previous value: 65.4%); polyester开工率 was 88.9% (previous value: 90.9%); semi - tire开工率 was 73.9% (previous value: 78.3%); full - tire开工率 was 63.5% (previous value: 64.8%); PTA开工率 was 78.6% (previous value: 77.6%); PX开工率 was 84.6% (previous value: 80.6%); and the coal dispatch at Qinhuangdao Port was 47.6 tons (previous value: 47.3 tons) [1][9][16]. 3.3 Real - Estate Sales: New Home Sales Were Continuously Negative Year - on - Year - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 21.0 million square meters (previous value: 31.9 million square meters); the premium rate of land transactions in 100 large and medium - sized cities was 3.7% (previous value: 10.0%) [27]. 3.4 Infrastructure Investment: Asphalt开工率 Rebounded - The infrastructure investment high - frequency index was 118.1 (previous value: 117.9), with a year - on - year increase of 1.6 points (previous value: 1.2 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. The开工率 of asphalt plants was 31.3% (previous value: 27.7%) [1][9][38]. 3.5 Exports: Container Freight Index for Exports Continued to Rise - The CCFI index was 1155 points (previous value: 1118 points); the export price index of Yiwu small commodities was 104 points (previous value: 108 points); the RJ/CRB index was 297.6 points (previous value: 292.3 points) [45]. 3.6 Consumption: Retail and Wholesale of Passenger Cars by Manufacturers Increased - The retail volume of passenger cars by manufacturers was 95,364 units (previous value: 60,823 units); the wholesale volume of passenger cars by manufacturers was 156,618 units (previous value: 75,923 units); the average daily box office was 82.57 million yuan (previous value: 34.35 million yuan) [57]. 3.7 CPI: Pork Prices Continued to Fall - The average wholesale price of pork was 20.6 yuan/kg (previous value: 20.7 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables was 4.3 yuan/kg (previous value: 4.3 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits was 7.9 yuan/kg (previous value: 7.8 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens was 17.3 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.4 yuan/kg) [66]. 3.8 PPI: Rebar Prices Continued to Fall, Copper Prices Continued to Rise - The closing price of steam coal (produced in Shanxi) at Qinhuangdao Port was 609 yuan/ton (previous value: 611 yuan/ton); the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil was 65 US dollars/barrel (previous value: 64 US dollars/barrel); the spot settlement price of LME copper was 9720 US dollars/ton (previous value: 9650 US dollars/ton); the spot settlement price of LME aluminum was 2455 US dollars/ton (previous value: 2466 US dollars/ton) [72]. 3.9 Transportation: Passenger Traffic Declined - The passenger traffic of the subway in first - tier cities was 36.66 million person - times (previous value: 39.01 million person - times); the road logistics freight rate index was 1050 points (previous value: 1050 points) [82]. 3.10 Inventory: Aluminum Inventory Continued to Rise - The aluminum inventory was 165,000 tons (previous value: 138,000 tons); the soda ash inventory was 1.627 million tons (previous value: 1.613 million tons) [88]. 3.11 Financing: Local Government Bonds Declined, Credit Bonds Rebounded - The net financing of local government bonds was 5.05 billion yuan (previous value: 13.74 billion yuan); the net financing of credit bonds was 12.46 billion yuan (previous value: 5.12 billion yuan); the 6M national - share bank acceptance bill rediscount rate was 1.08% (previous value: 1.10%); the average value of the bill rate - certificate of deposit rate was - 0.73% (previous value: - 0.73%) [99].