Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - Indonesia is considering the procurement of Chinese-made J-10 fighter jets, which is expected to boost the military trade market's activity. The Indonesian government aims to enhance its air force's modernization while ensuring cost-effectiveness in its defense budget. The performance of the J-10 in the India-Pakistan conflict is a significant factor in Indonesia's consideration of this model. Compared to Western counterparts, the J-10 offers a more competitive price and meets Indonesia's demand for "high cost-performance advanced equipment" [10][12][14] - The report suggests that China's military trade, currently accounting for 5.9% of the global military trade market, has the potential for significant growth as China increasingly takes center stage on the world stage [12][14] - Looking ahead to 2025, the military industry is expected to see an inflection point in orders, driven by new technologies aimed at enhancing equipment performance or reducing costs, as well as new market directions from military trade and military technology conversion [14] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The closing index for the defense industry is at 1508.79, with a 52-week high of 1712.48 and a low of 1113.62 [1] 2. Market Performance - The military industry index increased by 0.07%, while the Shenwan military index rose by 0.41%. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.13%, and the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.42% [16] - The top ten performing stocks in the military sector this week include Xinguang Optoelectronics (+10.62%), Huawu Co., Ltd. (+9.71%), and Longda Co., Ltd. (+9.21%) [18] 3. Investment Recommendations - Two main investment themes are suggested: 1) Aerospace and "gap-filling" new focuses, including companies like Feilihua, Fenghuo Electronics, and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft [14] 2) New technologies, products, and markets with greater elasticity, including Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing and Guangdong Hongda [14] 4. Valuation Levels - As of June 6, 2025, the military industry index stands at 10727.13, with a PE-TTM valuation of 103.35 and a PB valuation of 3.29. Historically, 79.75% of the time since January 1, 2014, the PE-TTM valuation has been below the current level [21][22]
国防军工行业周报:印尼考虑采购中国歼-10战斗机,有望带动军贸市场景气度提升
China Post Securities·2025-06-09 08:03