瑞达期货股指期货全景日报-20250609

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - The Sino - US trade relationship shows signs of further easing, which is short - term positive for the market. However, domestic deflation pressure still exists, and imports and exports are weak under tariff impacts. The economic fundamentals are under pressure, limiting the upside space of the broader market. The market is in a policy vacuum period with limited incremental funds, making it difficult for large - cap blue - chip stocks to perform strongly. Small and medium - cap technology stocks with low valuations are expected to rise in the short term. For strategies, it is recommended to wait and see on the long - short single - side trades and try the arbitrage strategy of going long IC/IM and short IF/IH [2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Disk - IF main contract (2506) is at 3867.8, up 14.0; IF next main contract (2509) is at 3802.4, up 21.4. IH main contract (2506) is at 2676.6, up 3.8; IH next main contract (2509) is at 2641.4, up 6.0. IC main contract (2506) is at 5766.4, up 45.8; IC next main contract (2509) is at 5584.6, up 54.2. IM main contract (2506) is at 6167.8, up 73.6; IM next main contract (2509) is at 5912.6, up 77.2 [2] - IF - IH current - month contract spread is 1191.2, up 9.4; IC - IF current - month contract spread is 1898.6, up 28.6. IM - IC current - month contract spread is 401.4, up 26.6; IC - IH current - month contract spread is 3089.8, up 38.0. IM - IF current - month contract spread is 2300.0, up 55.2; IM - IH current - month contract spread is 3491.2, up 64.6 [2] - IF quarterly - current month is - 65.4, up 6.6; IF next - quarter - current month is - 97.8, up 11.6. IH quarterly - current month is - 35.2, up 2.0; IH next - quarter - current month is - 34, up 4.2. IC quarterly - current month is - 181.8, up 8.4; IC next - quarter - current month is - 306, up 11.6. IM quarterly - current month is - 255.2, up 4.2; IM next - quarter - current month is - 432.6, up 6.6 [2] 3.2 Futures Position - IF top 20 net position is - 28,228.00, up 443.0; IH top 20 net position is - 12,105.00, down 123.0. IC top 20 net position is - 7,964.00, down 1837.0; IM top 20 net position is - 29,143.00, up 174.0 [2] 3.3 Spot Price - CSI 300 is at 3885.25, up 11.3; IF main contract basis is - 17.4, up 1.1. SSE 50 is at 2686.83, down 2.0; IH main contract basis is - 10.2, up 5.0. CSI 500 is at 5805.65, up 43.6; IC main contract basis is - 39.3, down 2.6. CSI 1000 is at 6218.96, up 66.1; IM main contract basis is - 51.2, up 1.5 [2] 3.4 Market Sentiment - A - share trading volume (daily, billion yuan) is 13,126.55, up 1354.42; margin trading balance (previous trading day, billion yuan) is 18,085.96, down 30.84. North - bound trading volume (previous trading day, billion yuan) is 1249.86, down 171.83; reverse repurchase (maturity, operation volume, billion yuan) is 0.0, up 1738.0 [2] - Main funds (yesterday, today, billion yuan) are + 3.93, down 265.05. MLF data is not provided. The proportion of rising stocks (daily, %) is 76.13, up 28.09; Shibor (daily, %) is 1.378, down 0.033 [2] - IO at - the - money call option closing price (2506) is 23.00, up 1.60; IO at - the - money call option implied volatility (%) is 12.06, down 0.43. IO at - the - money put option closing price (2506) is 52.40, down 10.20; IO at - the - money put option implied volatility (%) is 11.92, down 0.05 [2] - CSI 300 index 20 - day volatility (%) is 9.24, up 0.02; trading volume PCR (%) (6.6) is 54.89, down 2.38; position PCR (%) (6.6) is 67.17, down 0.13 [2] 3.5 Wind Market Strength - Weakness Analysis - All A - shares score is 7.30, up 2.50; technical aspect score is 7.60, up 2.80; capital aspect score is 7.00, up 2.20 [2] 3.6 Industry News - In May, China's CPI decreased by 0.1% year - on - year (same as the previous value) and 0.2% month - on - month (previous value was a 0.1% increase). PPI decreased by 3.3% year - on - year (previous value was a 2.7% decrease) and 0.4% month - on - month (same as the previous value) [2] - In the first five months of 2025, China's total goods trade import and export value was 17.94 trillion yuan, a 2.5% year - on - year increase. Exports were 10.67 trillion yuan, a 7.2% year - on - year increase; imports were 7.27 trillion yuan, a 3.8% year - on - year decrease. In May, the total goods trade import and export value was 3.81 trillion yuan, a 2.7% year - on - year increase. Exports were 2.28 trillion yuan, a 6.3% year - on - year increase; imports were 1.53 trillion yuan, a 2.1% year - on - year decrease [2] - A - share major indices generally closed higher. The three major indices opened and rose in the morning and maintained high levels in the afternoon. The Shanghai Composite Index once reached 3400 points. Small and medium - cap stocks outperformed large - cap blue - chip stocks. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.43%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.65%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.07%. Trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets increased. Most industry sectors rose, with the pharmaceutical and biological sector strengthening significantly, and only the food and beverage sector falling against the market [2] 3.7 Key Data to Watch - China's May financial data is to be determined on 6/11 at 20:30. US May CPI and core CPI will be released on 6/11 at 20:30. US May PPI, core PPI and the number of initial jobless claims for the week ending June 7 will be released on 6/12 at 20:30 [3]