A股投资策略周度专题：泛红利资产框架：市场底至盈利底期间，首选“增长型红利”-20250609

Group 1: Market Overview - The domestic PMI for May is below the threshold, indicating economic pressure despite slight improvements in orders[1] - The U.S. labor market shows signs of weakness, with a total of 95,000 jobs revised down for March and April combined[1] - The unemployment rate in the U.S. has remained at a high of 4.2% for three consecutive months, with initial jobless claims reaching 247,000, the highest since October 2024[1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The report suggests a shift from small-cap growth to large-cap value defensive strategies due to rising volatility in the market[1] - During the market bottom to profit bottom phase, growth dividends are expected to perform best, with median annualized returns of 34.5% and 41.1% respectively[2] - A constructed dividend rotation strategy has achieved a net value of 4.34 with an annualized return of 17.0% from 2016 to April 2025, outperforming the CSI Dividend Total Return Index[3] Group 3: Sector Focus - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on growth-type dividends during the current market conditions, as they are expected to provide better returns[2] - Key sectors for investment include innovative pharmaceuticals, infrastructure, and service consumption, which are seen as growth-type dividend assets[4] - The report highlights structural opportunities in gold and technology sectors, particularly in AI and semiconductor industries, as potential areas for investment[4] Group 4: Risk Factors - Risks include the potential for a "hard landing" in the U.S. economy and a sharper-than-expected slowdown in domestic exports[5] - The ongoing uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs and inflation could further impact market stability and investor sentiment[1]