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国海证券晨会纪要-20250610
Guohai Securities·2025-06-10 01:05

Group 1 - The automotive business of the Weaponry Equipment Group will become an independent central enterprise, and Xiaomi Group held its 2025 Investor Day, indicating a high growth forecast for the year [3][4] - The A-share automotive sector underperformed the Shanghai Composite Index during the week of June 2-6, 2025, with the automotive sector index rising only 0.2% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 1.1% [3] - The restructuring of Changan Automobile's indirect controlling shareholder, the Weaponry Equipment Group, will not significantly impact the company's normal operations [3] Group 2 - Xiaomi Group expects a revenue growth of over 30% year-on-year for 2025, with a net profit increase of over 40% [4] - The company aims to achieve profitability in its smart electric vehicle business by Q3 2025 and plans to expand its overseas electric vehicle sales starting in 2027 [4] - Xiaomi has invested 13.5 billion yuan in its self-developed automotive semiconductor products as part of a ten-year plan [4] Group 3 - The automotive sector is expected to benefit from the continuation of the vehicle trade-in policy in 2025, which supports upward automotive consumption [5] - Recommended companies in the automotive sector include Li Auto, JAC Motors, Geely, BYD, and Great Wall Motors, with a focus on high-end vehicles [5] - The commercial vehicle sector is anticipated to recover in 2025, with recommendations for leading companies such as Foton Motor and China National Heavy Duty Truck [5] Group 4 - The pig farming industry may experience a price and policy turning point, with recommendations for companies like Wens Foodstuff Group and Muyuan Foods [11] - The poultry industry is facing challenges due to overseas avian influenza, but there is potential for price improvement in the future [12] - The pet medical industry is growing, with a market size of approximately 840 billion yuan, and investment opportunities are recommended in companies like Keqian Biology and Ruipin Biology [13] Group 5 - The food and beverage sector has shown a mixed performance, with the soft drink segment performing well, while the overall food and beverage index underperformed the Shanghai Composite Index [17] - The liquor sector is facing price pressures due to increased competition among e-commerce platforms during promotional events [18] - Recommended companies in the liquor sector include Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao [20] Group 6 - The REITs market has seen a total market value surpassing 200 billion yuan, with the REITs index outperforming other indices [23] - The transportation infrastructure sector has led the weekly gains among REITs, with specific REITs like the China Merchants Highway REIT showing significant increases [24] - The cash distribution rates for different types of REITs indicate a favorable environment for investment in the sector [26] Group 7 - The North Exchange is set to launch the Specialized and Innovative Index, which will provide a benchmark for investment in specialized small and medium enterprises [29] - The North Exchange 50 Index has shown a slight increase, with a focus on companies with stable growth and reasonable valuations [30] - Recommended companies include Tongli Co. and Hengtuo Technology, which are expected to benefit from infrastructure investments [30]