YUNNAN BAIYAO(SZ:000538) Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan·2025-06-10 00:23Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Yunnan Baiyao, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance [8][73]. Core Insights - Yunnan Baiyao is experiencing steady growth across its four main business segments: pharmaceuticals, health products, traditional Chinese medicine resources, and provincial pharmaceutical companies, while also advancing new business areas such as medical devices and health supplements [3][4][26]. - The company has a clear research and development strategy focused on innovative traditional Chinese medicine and nuclear medicine, with ongoing projects in both short-term and long-term development [5][55]. - The financial forecast predicts steady revenue growth, with expected revenues of 417.62 billion, 435.30 billion, and 452.78 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of 51.33 billion, 56.30 billion, and 59.99 billion yuan for the same years [6][66]. Summary by Sections Business Performance - Yunnan Baiyao has achieved a significant increase in revenue, reaching 400.33 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 2.36% [18][19]. - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio, exceeding 90% for three consecutive years, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [22][24]. Business Segments - The pharmaceutical segment focuses on pain management and has seen a revenue increase of 11.8% in 2024, driven by core products like Yunnan Baiyao aerosol and plasters [26][33]. - The health products segment, led by Yunnan Baiyao toothpaste, has maintained its market leadership, achieving a revenue of 65.26 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth of 1.6% [40][42]. - The traditional Chinese medicine resources segment has reported a revenue of 17.51 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 3.13% [44]. Research and Development - The company is actively pursuing innovative drug development, with 11 major projects in secondary innovation and 25 ongoing projects in rapid drug and device development [5][56]. - Yunnan Baiyao is also focusing on AI and digital transformation to enhance its operational efficiency and product development capabilities [63][64]. Financial Projections - The projected revenue growth rates for the next three years are 4.32%, 4.23%, and 4.02%, with corresponding net profit growth rates of 8.08%, 9.68%, and 6.55% [6][66][70]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.88, 3.16, and 3.36 yuan, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [6][66].