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无人驾驶深度之一:无人物流专题:万事具备,爆发元年
Soochow Securities·2025-06-10 15:14

Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong investment outlook for the unmanned logistics industry, highlighting a significant growth potential in the coming years [4]. Core Insights - The unmanned logistics sector is poised for explosive growth in 2025, driven by favorable policies, technological advancements, and economic viability. The market is expected to see sales surpassing 30,000 units in 2025, with a penetration rate exceeding 1.2% [4][41]. - The industry is characterized by a dual revenue model of vehicle sales and operational services, with a projected market size of 245 billion yuan for vehicle sales and 413.4 billion yuan for operational services by 2030 [4]. - Key players in the market include Jiushi and New Stone, which together hold over 80% market share and are expanding their operations both domestically and internationally [4]. Summary by Sections Part 1: Market Readiness - The unmanned logistics market is ready for a breakthrough, with applications primarily in short-distance transportation (3-100 km) within urban areas, potentially replacing 2.1 million light commercial vehicles [4]. - The report emphasizes that the combination of policy support, mature L4 autonomous driving technology, and reduced costs makes 2025 a pivotal year for sales growth [4]. Part 2: Focus on Unmanned Logistics Companies - The operational profit margins for unmanned logistics companies are substantial, with a projected sales volume of over 30,000 units in 2025 and a growth rate of 207% expected in 2026 [4]. - The report identifies Jiushi and New Stone as industry leaders, with Jiushi's new model priced at 19,800 yuan, significantly disrupting the market [4]. Part 3: Mainstream Companies Driving Growth - The report highlights the strong momentum of mainstream companies that are leveraging both vehicle sales and operational services to drive growth [4]. - Jiushi and New Stone are leading the charge, with extensive coverage across over 200 cities and plans for significant international expansion [4]. Part 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on unmanned logistics companies such as Wenyan Zhixing and Jinlong Automobile, as well as potential IPO candidates like Jiushi and New Stone [4]. - Additionally, it suggests looking into companies benefiting from autonomous driving technologies, including Sutech, Hesai Technology, and Desay SV [4].