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先进制造行业周报:“稳定币第一股”Circle上市,稳定币加速迈入主流金融体系
AVIC Securities·2025-06-11 00:25

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2] Core Insights - The stablecoin market is rapidly gaining acceptance in mainstream finance, with Circle's market capitalization reaching approximately $23.8 billion after its IPO, reflecting a nearly 2.5 times increase from its issue price [5][6] - The total market size of stablecoins is projected to grow from $20 billion in 2020 to $246 billion by May 2025, with a trading volume increase of 598% [5] - Key growth areas identified include blockchain and fintech, renewable energy and real-world assets (RWA), and cross-border payments [5] Summary by Sections Stablecoin Market - Circle's IPO on June 5, 2025, marked a significant milestone, with its stock price increasing by nearly 170% on the first day and reaching a total market value of $29.8 billion [6][10] - The revenue model for Circle is heavily reliant on reserve income from stablecoin assets, with projected total revenue of $1.676 billion for 2024, of which approximately $1.661 billion will come from reserve income [10][11] Regulatory Developments - The U.S. Senate has made progress on the "Guiling and Establishing National Innovation for Stablecoins Act," indicating the establishment of a regulatory framework for stablecoins [11][12] - Hong Kong has also introduced a regulatory framework for stablecoins, expected to take effect within the year [11][12] Industry Trends - The humanoid robot industry is entering a critical phase, with a projected cumulative demand of approximately 2 million units by 2030 [15] - The photovoltaic equipment sector is experiencing accelerated penetration rates, with leading companies enhancing their competitive edge through technological innovations [16] - The automation sector is expected to grow significantly, with market size projected to reach approximately 55.7 billion yuan by 2026 [17]