Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views - On June 11, 2025, the rebar futures price rose to 2991 yuan/ton, driven by macro - economic factors, policies, market supply - demand, and market expectations [3][4]. - For stock index futures, it is expected that the market will likely maintain high - level fluctuations [7]. - Gold is in a short - term oscillatory pattern but is bullish in the long run, and the operation should focus on going long, with low - buying recommended instead of chasing the rise [11][12]. - Iron ore is a strong variety in the black series. Despite over - valuation risks due to weak reality, the continuous decline in port inventory supports the market, and a bullish - oscillatory view is recommended [15][16]. - For glass, an oscillatory - bullish view remains, waiting for the effect of real - estate stimulus or major policy announcements [18]. - Urea prices are in a weak adjustment. With domestic daily production at about 20.56 tons and an 87.23% operating rate, agricultural demand is slow, and when reaching the previous support area, there is a risk of a strong rebound from the long side [22]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Rebar Futures - The price increase is due to domestic economic recovery driving demand, government environmental policies reducing supply, supply - demand imbalances caused by cost and policy factors, and positive market expectations [4]. Stock Index Futures - The market is expected to maintain high - level fluctuations, with the background of China and the US reaching an agreement framework in principle [7]. Gold - It is in a short - term oscillatory pattern, but long - term bullish. Operationally, it is advisable to go long and choose low - buying [11][12]. Iron Ore - There is an over - valuation risk due to weak reality, but the continuous decline in port inventory supports the market. Technically, the lower support is effective, and a bullish - oscillatory view is recommended [15][16]. Glass - Supply has not seen significant cold - repair due to losses, factory inventories are high, and downstream demand is weak. An oscillatory - bullish view remains, waiting for real - estate stimulus or major policies [18][19]. Urea - Domestic daily production is about 20.56 tons with an 87.23% operating rate. Agricultural demand is slow, prices are in a weak adjustment, and when reaching the previous support area, there is a risk of a long - side rebound [22].
金信期货日刊-20250612
Jin Xin Qi Huo·2025-06-11 23:51