中金公司港股晨报-20250612

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is constrained by the March high of 24,874 points, with expectations of new financial policies from mainland China to stabilize the market, including reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions [2] - The recent US-China trade negotiations have led to a temporary reduction in tariffs, with US tariffs on Chinese imports dropping from 145% to 30%, and Chinese tariffs on US goods decreasing from 125% to 10% for a 90-day period [2][3] - The Hang Seng Index's valuation has returned to reasonable levels, requiring significant positive developments in trade agreements and corporate earnings improvements to maintain upward momentum [2] Sector Focus - The report highlights a positive outlook for sectors such as financial stocks, automotive parts, and gold mining stocks, driven by recent developments in trade agreements and geopolitical factors [7][8] - The automotive sector in mainland China saw a year-on-year sales increase of 11.2% in May, with new energy vehicle sales rising by 36.9% [9] Company News - Horizon Robotics plans to raise approximately HKD 47 billion through a share placement at a discount of nearly 7% [10] - Kintor Pharmaceutical is preparing for an IPO in Hong Kong, aiming to raise around USD 100 million [10] - Pop Mart has expanded its production capacity but still faces supply shortages due to high demand for its products [11] - JD Logistics is expanding its operations in Saudi Arabia, having recruited over a thousand staff for its logistics services [10] - Alibaba is focusing on re-establishing its leadership in the technology sector, emphasizing AI and cloud infrastructure as key strategic pillars [10] Economic Indicators - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May showed a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, with core CPI rising by 0.1% month-on-month, indicating that tariffs have not yet significantly impacted overall inflation levels [8] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates, with projections indicating two rate cuts totaling 0.5% for the year [4][8]