申万期货品种策略日报：聚烯烃（LL、PP）-20250612

Group 1: Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - Polyolefins are slightly consolidating. The consumption of polyolefins has entered a relative off - season, and the spot prices generally perform averagely. The price fluctuations of the futures market mainly follow the cost and market sentiment. The rebound of international oil prices helps polyolefins stop falling. In the future, the driving force is limited, but the valuation is not high, so polyolefins may gradually stop falling, build a bottom, and attempt a rebound [2] Group 3: Summary of Related Catalogs Futures Market - LL Futures: The previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7075, 7066, and 7102 respectively. There were declines with changes of - 3, - 1, - 4 and corresponding percentage changes of - 0.04%, - 0.01%, - 0.06%. The trading volumes were 24916, 157, 253230, and the open interests were 111392, 704, 536103 with changes of - 1662, 39, 5141. The current spreads of 1 - 5 months, 5 - 9 months, 9 - 1 months were 9, - 36, 27 compared to previous values of 11, - 39, 28 [2] - PP Futures: The previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 6908, 6903, and 6960 respectively. There were increases with changes of 12, 14, 19 and corresponding percentage changes of 0.17%, 0.20%, 0.27%. The trading volumes were 16043, 147, 224195, and the open interests were 78596, 709, 501412 with changes of 151, 105, - 10063. The current spreads of 1 - 5 months, 5 - 9 months, 9 - 1 months were 5, - 57, 52 compared to previous values of 7, - 52, 45 [2] Raw Materials and Spot Market - Raw Materials: The current values of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder, and mulch film were 2284 yuan/ton, 6360 yuan/ton, 606 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6960 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively. The previous values were 2278 yuan/ton, 6360 yuan/ton, 608 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6970 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton [2] - Spot Market: For LL, the current price ranges in East China, North China, and South China markets were 7150 - 7750 yuan/ton, 7100 - 7300 yuan/ton, 7250 - 7550 yuan/ton respectively. For PP, the current price ranges in East China, North China, and South China markets were 7000 - 7150 yuan/ton, 7000 - 7150 yuan/ton, 7050 - 7200 yuan/ton respectively [2] News - On Wednesday (June 11), the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for July 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was 68.15 dollars per barrel, up 3.17 dollars or 4.88% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of 64.60 - 68.37 dollars. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for August 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was 69.77 dollars per barrel, up 2.90 dollars or 4.34% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of 66.47 - 70.50 dollars [2]