金属期权策略早报-20250612

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The metal sector is divided into non - ferrous metals, precious metals, and black metals. Different option strategies are proposed for various metal varieties based on their fundamentals, market trends, and option factors [2][8]. - For non - ferrous metals, strategies such as bull spreads, bear spreads, and short - volatility strategies are recommended according to the market conditions of each metal [7][9][10]. - For precious metals, strategies like short - volatility option seller combinations and spot hedging strategies are suggested [12]. - For black metals, strategies including bear spreads, short - volatility strategies, and spot hedging or covered call strategies are put forward [13][14][15]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The report provides the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of various metal futures contracts, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. For example, the latest price of copper (CU2507) is 78,570, with a decline of 610 and a decrease rate of 0.77% [3]. 3.2 Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - It shows the volume and open interest PCR of different metal options, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the market. For instance, the volume PCR of copper options is 0.56, with a change of 0.10, and the open interest PCR is 0.95, with a change of - 0.05 [4]. 3.3 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of each metal option are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure point of copper is 80,000, and the support point is 70,000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of different metal options are presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of copper is 12.60, and the weighted implied volatility is 17.17, with a change of - 0.10 [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations 3.5.1 Non - Ferrous Metals - Copper: Directional strategy - construct a bull spread of call options; volatility strategy - construct a short - volatility option seller combination; spot long - hedging strategy - hold spot long + buy put options + sell out - of - the - money call options [7]. - Aluminum/Alumina: Directional strategy - none; volatility strategy - construct a short - neutral call + put option combination; spot long - hedging strategy - construct a spot collar strategy [9]. - Zinc/Lead: Directional strategy - none; volatility strategy - construct a short - bearish call + put option combination; spot long - hedging strategy - construct a spot collar strategy [9]. - Nickel: Directional strategy - none; volatility strategy - construct a short - bearish call + put option combination; spot long - hedging strategy - hold spot long + buy put options [10]. - Tin: Directional strategy - none; volatility strategy - construct a short - volatility strategy; spot long - hedging strategy - construct a spot collar strategy [10]. - Lithium Carbonate: Directional strategy - construct a bear spread of put options; volatility strategy - construct a short - bearish call + put option combination; spot long - covered call strategy - hold spot long + sell call options [11]. 3.5.2 Precious Metals - Gold/Silver: Directional strategy - none; volatility strategy - construct a short - bullish volatility option seller combination; spot hedging strategy - hold spot long + buy put options + sell out - of - the - money call options [12]. 3.5.3 Black Metals - Rebar: Directional strategy - construct a bear spread of put options; volatility strategy - construct a short - bearish call + put option combination; spot long - covered call strategy - hold spot long + sell at - the - money call options [13]. - Iron Ore: Directional strategy - none; volatility strategy - construct a short - neutral call + put option combination; spot long - hedging strategy - construct a long collar strategy [13]. - Ferroalloys: For manganese silicon, directional strategy - construct a bear spread of put options; volatility strategy - construct a short - volatility strategy; spot hedging strategy - none. For industrial silicon/polysilicon, directional strategy - none; volatility strategy - construct a short - neutral call + put option combination; spot covered call strategy - hold spot long + sell call options [14]. - Glass: Directional strategy - construct a bear spread of put options; volatility strategy - construct a short - volatility call + put option combination; spot long - hedging strategy - construct a long collar strategy [15].