Soochow Securities·2025-06-12 15:39Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry in the next six months [1]. Core Insights - The implementation of new accounting standards for non-listed insurance companies starting January 1, 2026, is expected to lead to increased volatility in net profits and downward pressure on net assets [4]. - The shift to new standards will likely drive insurance capital towards OCI stocks, enhancing the stability of profit statements [4]. - The report highlights that the insurance sector is currently undervalued, with PEV ratios ranging from 0.58 to 0.94 and PB ratios from 0.94 to 2.19, indicating a historical low [4]. Summary by Sections New Accounting Standards - Non-listed insurance companies will adopt new accounting standards in 2026, with provisions for simplified processing for those facing difficulties [4]. - The transition is expected to result in a significant drop in revenue, increased profit volatility, and pressure on net assets [4]. Impact on Financial Metrics - For five early-adopting bank-affiliated insurance companies, revenue under the new standards decreased by 76% compared to the old standards, while net assets fell by 16% [5]. - In 2024, these companies are projected to see a substantial increase in net profits, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 1,192% [5]. Asset Allocation Trends - Since 2023, listed insurance companies have been increasing their allocation to FVOCI stocks, with a notable rise in the proportion of these investments [4]. - By the end of 2024, the combined FVOCI stock proportion for five listed insurance companies is expected to reach 31.9%, up by 9.4 percentage points from the beginning of the year [4]. Market Conditions - The report notes that the demand for savings remains strong, and regulatory guidance is expected to gradually lower liability costs, alleviating pressure from interest rate spreads [4]. - The stability of long-term bond yields around 1.65% is anticipated to ease the pressure on new fixed-income investment returns for insurance companies [4].