工业硅、多晶硅日评：低位整理-20250613

Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The silicon market is facing a situation of weak supply and demand, with high inventory pressure. Silicon prices are expected to remain under pressure in the short - term, but the downward space may be limited. For industrial silicon, it is recommended to wait and see, and for polysilicon, the strategy is to short on rebounds [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industrial Silicon - Price Changes: The average price of non - oxygenated 553 (East China) remained flat at 8,100 yuan/ton, and the 421 (East China) also remained flat at 8,700 yuan/ton. The closing price of the futures main contract dropped 1.39% to 7,455 yuan/ton [1]. - Supply Side: Some silicon enterprises in the north reduced production due to cost - price inversion. In the southwest production area, although the wet season is approaching, the confidence in the future market is lacking, the overall wait - and - see sentiment is strong, and the willingness to resume production is insufficient. The overall start - up rate decreased [1]. - Demand Side: Polysilicon enterprises maintained a production - reduction trend, and the resumption of production might be postponed. The organic silicon industry had a strong willingness to reduce production to support prices, but the demand was weak, and the actual transaction price declined. The domestic monomer enterprises still in production had mixed start - up rates, and the overall start - up rate decreased. Silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchased on demand, and the downstream's willingness to stock up at low prices was insufficient [1]. Polysilicon - Price Changes: N - type dense material dropped 1.41% to 35 yuan/kg, polysilicon re - feeding material dropped 1.49% to 33 yuan/kg, polysilicon dense material remained flat at 32 yuan/kg, and polysilicon cauliflower material remained flat at 30 yuan/kg. The closing price of the futures main contract dropped 1.96% to 33,585 yuan/ton [1]. - Supply Side: Silicon material enterprises maintained a production - reduction trend, and some silicon material factories might have new capacity put into production. The output was expected to be maintained within 100,000 tons [1]. - Demand Side: The photovoltaic market was weak overall, with the inventory of silicon wafers and silicon materials increasing, and the prices of silicon wafers, battery cells, and components continuing to decline. The market demand slowed down, and some component delivery prices were close to new lows, with weak market transactions [1]. Other Information - Project Information: Sichuan Huadong Electric Group Co., Ltd. won the bid for the EPC general contracting project of the transmission line project of photovoltaic projects in Xundian County, Kunming City, Yunnan Province, with a bid price of 10,906,997.47 yuan [1]. - EVA and EPE Film: The mainstream price range of EVA film was 12,300 - 12,500 yuan/ton, and the price range of EPE film was 13,900 - 14,000 yuan/ton. Due to the decline in component production and weak demand, and the weak and stable price of EVA photovoltaic material, the price of the film was expected to remain stable in the near future [1].