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全球贸易形势日趋复杂
citic securities·2025-06-13 03:11

Market Overview - A-shares experienced slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.01% and the Shenzhen Component down 0.11%[17] - Hong Kong stocks were affected by global market sentiment, with the Hang Seng Index down 1.36% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 2.2%[11] - European markets showed weakness, with the STOXX 600 index down 0.3% and the DAX down 0.7%[9] Economic Indicators - The U.S. PPI data for May showed a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, below the expected 0.2%, indicating continued inflation cooling[30] - The U.S. 30-year Treasury auction saw a strong demand with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.43, indicating investor confidence despite geopolitical tensions[30] Geopolitical Tensions - Israel's attack on Iran's nuclear facilities heightened tensions in the Middle East, leading to a surge in oil prices by over 8% during Asian trading hours[27] - The geopolitical situation has contributed to increased demand for safe-haven assets, pushing gold prices up by over 1%[27] Sector Performance - In the U.S. market, 8 out of 11 S&P sectors rose, with utilities leading the gains at 1.26%[9] - In Hong Kong, the healthcare sector rose by 3.8%, while consumer discretionary stocks fell by 2.4%[12] Trade Policies - The U.S. announced an increase in steel tariffs on household appliances, raising the rate from 25% to 50%, impacting Chinese manufacturers significantly[15] - The U.S. continues to face trade uncertainties with China, particularly regarding tariffs and trade agreements[9]