宏观金融数据日报-20250613
Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-06-13 07:43
- Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, 930.9 billion yuan of reverse repurchases in the central bank's open market will mature, with 135 billion yuan maturing on Friday. After the bank assessment at the beginning of the month, the capital market has become looser, and the central bank uses various tools to ensure reasonable and sufficient mid - year liquidity [4] - Current domestic factors have weak driving forces for stock indices. The fundamentals are weak, with low inflation and slowed export growth. The policy is in a vacuum. Overseas factors dominate short - term fluctuations. Short - term Sino - US trade negotiations have relatively positive results, leading to a relatively strong market oscillation. Investors should be cautious about repeated Sino - US tariff signals and long - position investors in stock index futures can buy put options to hedge risks [6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Money Market - DR001 closed at 1.37, up 0.47 bp; DR007 at 1.54, up 1.10 bp; GC001 at 1.49, down 4.50 bp; GC007 at 1.57, down 1.00 bp; SHBOR 3M at 1.64, down 0.30 bp; LPR 5 - year at 3.50, down 10.00 bp; 1 - year treasury bond at 1.41, unchanged; 5 - year treasury bond at 1.51, up 0.50 bp; 10 - year treasury bond at 1.65, up 0.30 bp; 10 - year US treasury bond at 4.41, down 6.00 bp [3] - The central bank conducted 119.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations with an interest rate of 1.40% yesterday. With 126.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, there was a net withdrawal of 7.2 billion yuan [3] 3.2 Stock Index Market - The closing prices and changes of major indices: CSI 300 fell 0.06% to 3892.2; SSE 50 fell 0.03% to 2691.3; CSI 500 rose 0.12% to 5799.9; CSI 1000 rose 0.09% to 6192.2. The trading volume of the two markets was 1.2718 trillion yuan, an increase of 16.3 billion yuan [5] - Industry sectors: Precious metals, beauty care, jewelry, diversified finance, culture and media, household light industry, and biological products led the gains, while shipping ports, brewing, and electronic chemicals led the losses [5] - Futures market: IF volume was 83,934, down 25.1; IF open interest was 235,571, down 6.2; IH volume was 45,745, down 15.2; IH open interest was 82,865, down 1.4; IC volume was 67,708, down 15.9; IC open interest was 216,406, down 1.2; IM volume was 158,990, down 13.9; IM open interest was 326,593, up 0.6 [5] 3.3 Futures Ascertainment and Premium/Discount Situation - IF premium/discount rates for different contracts: 10.08% for the current - month contract, 13.18% for the next - month contract, 0.02% for the current - quarter contract, and 5.48% for the next - quarter contract [7] - IH premium/discount rates for different contracts: 15.39% for the current - month contract, 17.06% for the next - month contract, 7.05% for the current - quarter contract, and 3.69% for the next - quarter contract [7] - IC premium/discount rates for different contracts: 15.68% for the current - month contract, 17.40% for the next - month contract, 13.15% for the current - quarter contract, and 11.05% for the next - quarter contract [7] - IM premium/discount rates for different contracts: 26.10% for the current - month contract, 21.68% for the next - month contract, 17.60% for the current - quarter contract, and 14.67% for the next - quarter contract [7]