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医药生物行业2025年中期投资策略：触底反弹，把握景气方向
Dongguan Securities·2025-06-13 09:32

Group 1 - The report maintains an overweight rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, indicating a potential recovery and growth in the sector [3][7] - The SW pharmaceutical and biotechnology index increased by 6.61% from January to May 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 9.02 percentage points [9][17] - The industry valuation is currently at a relatively low level, with a PE ratio of approximately 50.45 times as of June 12, 2025, which is higher than the beginning of the year but still within the lower range historically [9][24] Group 2 - The report highlights that the 11th batch of national drug procurement is expected to commence in June 2025, with a focus on systemic anti-infection drugs [33][34] - The report emphasizes the ongoing optimization of policies supporting innovative drug development, which is expected to enhance the industry's growth [38][39] - The innovative drug sector is experiencing a significant increase in the proportion of First-in-Class new drug development, indicating improved quality and competitiveness [42][43] Group 3 - The global obesity population is projected to exceed 4 billion by 2035, driving demand for weight loss medications [54][55] - The market for GLP-1 drugs is rapidly expanding, with forecasts suggesting a market size exceeding $140 billion by 2030 [56][59] - GLP-1 drugs are continuously expanding their indications, showing efficacy in various chronic diseases beyond diabetes and weight loss [60][61] Group 4 - The report identifies key companies in the innovative drug sector, such as Heng Rui Medicine, which has shown significant revenue growth and a strong pipeline of innovative drugs [47][48] - The report notes that Heng Rui Medicine's revenue increased from 11.094 billion yuan in 2016 to 27.985 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 12.26% [48][49] - The company maintains a high level of R&D investment, with R&D expenses rising from 3.896 billion yuan in 2019 to 6.583 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a commitment to innovation [50][51]