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工业自动化:美国工业回流对需求的边际拉动研究

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on companies benefiting from the return of the US semiconductor, biopharmaceutical, and machinery manufacturing industries, highlighting leaders in industrial automation such as Siemens, Emerson, Rockwell, ABB, FANUC, Yaskawa, and Mitsubishi Electric [5][58]. Core Insights - The added value of the US manufacturing industry was $2.6 trillion in 2022, accounting for 15.1% of global manufacturing value, ranking second globally after China [1][54]. - The proportion of US manufacturing in GDP has declined from 28.4% in 2001 to 10.7% in 2022, significantly lower than the global average of 17.5% [1][54]. - The US manufacturing sector has experienced a compound annual growth rate of 1.5% from 2017 to 2022, lagging behind the global average of nearly 3% [1][54]. - The "hollowing out" of the US manufacturing sector is characterized by a shift towards capital optimization, with significant reliance on imports for key components [2][55]. - The US government aims to reverse the decline in domestic manufacturing to ensure national security, particularly in critical sectors like semiconductors and medical supplies [2][30][55]. Summary by Sections 1. Current State of US Manufacturing - The US manufacturing sector's absolute value is not low, but its contribution to the economy is overshadowed by the service sector [1][9]. - The manufacturing sector's decline is evident in its GDP contribution compared to other major economies [1][9][12]. 2. Impact of US Reshoring on Industrial Automation - Industrial automation is crucial for reducing costs and improving efficiency through the integration of manufacturing processes [3][56]. - The US industrial automation market has significant growth potential, particularly in the context of low robot density compared to other economies [3][37]. - The competitive landscape features established giants like Siemens and ABB alongside new entrants, with increasing competition driven by technological advancements and policy support [4][57]. 3. Key Companies and Market Outlook - Major players in the industrial automation sector include Siemens, ABB, Emerson, FANUC, Yaskawa, and Mitsubishi Electric, each with distinct strengths and market positions [5][58]. - The pharmaceutical and medical technology sectors are expected to drive growth in industrial automation from 2025 to 2030, while other sectors face challenges [4][57].