农产品日报-20250613

Report Industry Investment Ratings - 豆一: ★☆☆ [1] - 豆粕: ★★★ [1] - 豆油: ★★★ [1] - 棕榈油: ★★★ [1] - 菜粕: ★☆☆ [1] - 菜油: ★☆☆ [1] - 玉米: ★☆☆ [1] - 生猪: ★★★ [1] - 鸡蛋: ★☆☆ [1] Core Views - The report analyzes multiple agricultural products including soybeans, corn, and livestock, considering factors such as weather, supply - demand, and policy. Different products face various market situations, and the report provides corresponding investment suggestions based on these analyses [2][3][7] Summary by Category 1. Soybeans - Domestic Soybeans: The domestic soybean main contract rebounded significantly. The tension in the Middle East and potential weather risks in the US may affect prices. Weather is expected to be the main factor driving price fluctuations during the growing season [2] - Imported Soybeans: There are risks of high temperature and low precipitation in the US soybean - growing months of July - August. With the tightened supply - demand balance of US soybeans, attention should be paid to weather - related price rebounds [2][6] 2. Soybean & Bean Meal - The USDA June soybean report was neutral. Dalian bean meal has been volatile recently. Although domestic soybean supply is increasing, the cost of imported Brazilian soybeans has risen, and the market is expected to be volatile [3] 3. Rapeseed Meal & Rapeseed Oil - The rapeseed meal had small fluctuations, and rapeseed oil prices rose. The USDA's adjustment to rapeseed supply - demand data had little impact. The prices of Canadian rapeseed and domestic rapeseed products are expected to have short - term upward space [4] 4. Corn - The USDA June report was neutral - positive for US new - season corn. Corn futures have been volatile. The price was affected by the wheat - corn substitution and future price differentials between them [7] 5. Livestock - Pigs: The hog futures rebounded, and the spot price was stable. In the short term, the spot price has downward pressure, while in the medium term, policy support may boost the far - end price [8] - Eggs: The egg futures price rebounded after a large - scale reduction in positions. The spot price continued to decline, and attention should be paid to potential demand increases when prices are low [9] 6. Vegetable Oils - Palm Oil: The price rose significantly but showed a trend of rising and then falling. The USDA report was neutral. The price is expected to be range - bound, with risks of suppression by US soybean weather speculation [6] - Soybean Oil: No specific independent analysis in the report, considered together with soybeans and related to the overall soybean market situation [3]