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申万宏源建筑周报:国常会提出更大力度推动地产止跌回稳,关注地产政策发力效果-20250615
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-06-15 05:43

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [3][29]. Core Insights - The report highlights the government's commitment to stabilizing the real estate market and enhancing construction policies to stimulate demand and optimize supply [4][13]. - The construction industry is currently experiencing weak overall performance, but regional investments are expected to gain momentum as national strategies are implemented [4][15]. - Key companies such as China Electric Power Construction and Zhi Te New Materials have secured significant contracts, indicating potential growth opportunities [15][19]. Industry Performance Summary - The construction sector's weekly performance showed a decline of 1.41%, underperforming against major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index [5][6]. - The best-performing sub-industry was Professional Engineering with a slight increase of 0.09%, while the International Engineering sector saw a decline of 1.67% [6][10]. - Year-to-date, the Ecological Landscaping sub-industry has shown the highest growth at 15.38%, followed by Decoration Curtain Wall at 11.63% [6][10]. Key Company Developments - Zhi Te New Materials signed a strategic cooperation agreement with PREMIUM INFINITE VENTURES INC. valued at approximately 420 million USD, equivalent to about 3 billion RMB [15][19]. - China Electric Power Construction won a bid for a major offshore wind power project in Liaoning with a contract value of approximately 10.77 billion RMB [15][19]. - Other notable companies include ST Baili, which saw a weekly increase of 22.89%, and Libaite with a 19.1% increase [11][12]. Market Trends and Changes - The report notes significant government initiatives aimed at enhancing the construction sector, including the integration of real estate development into urban renewal mechanisms [4][13]. - The focus on high-quality economic development through financial, technological, and data empowerment is emphasized as a key driver for the industry [13][14]. Company Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The report provides a detailed valuation table for key companies in the construction sector, indicating projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the coming years [22][24]. - For instance, China Railway has an estimated EPS of 1.13 for 2024, with a PE ratio of 4.9, while China Electric Power Construction is projected to have an EPS of 0.70 with a PE of 7.0 [22][24].