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公用事业及环保产业行业研究:疆电外送三通道投产,绿电外送占比预计提升
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-06-15 07:42

Investment Rating - The report suggests a "Buy" rating for the coal sector, indicating an expected increase in the sector's performance exceeding the market by over 15% in the next 3-6 months [68]. Core Insights - The coal market is currently experiencing a "weak balance under multi-directional competition," with supply tightening providing support for coal prices, while high inventory and clean energy alternatives suppress price rebounds [60][66]. - The report highlights the importance of the newly operational Hami North-Chongqing ±800 kV UHVDC project, which is expected to enhance the transmission of green electricity, with an annual delivery capacity of over 36 billion kWh [37][33]. - The report emphasizes the need for companies in the power generation sector to focus on regions with tight supply-demand dynamics and favorable competitive landscapes, particularly recommending companies like Huadian International and Anhui Energy [3][66]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.25%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 0.22% during the week [10]. - The carbon neutrality sector saw a slight increase of 0.15%, while the environmental protection sector declined by 1.15% [10]. Industry Data Tracking - Coal prices are under pressure due to high inventory levels and weak demand, with the CECI coastal index remaining stable [4][46]. - The report notes that the average price of Qinhuangdao thermal coal was 610 yuan/ton, showing a slight decrease of 0.16% [46]. Industry News - The China Electricity Council reported a significant drop in coal-fired power generation and consumption, with a year-on-year decrease exceeding 10% [4][59]. - The National Development and Reform Commission is focusing on supporting private enterprises in technological innovation, which is expected to enhance the overall industry landscape [4][61]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in various sectors: Anhui Energy and Huadian International in thermal power, Yangtze Power in hydropower, and Longyuan Power in renewable energy [3][66]. - The environmental sector is advised to consider urban comprehensive operation management service providers like Yuhua Tian [66].