Oracle(US:ORCL) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-06-15 11:15Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of AI applications and models, particularly from ByteDance and Oracle, indicating a strong growth trajectory in the AI computing and application sectors [10][20] - The report emphasizes the robust performance of Oracle's cloud business, with expectations for significant revenue growth in the upcoming fiscal year [18][19] - The report identifies seven key industry directions for investment, including AIDC infrastructure, IT equipment, network devices, cloud computing, AI applications, satellite internet, and 6G [20][21][22][27] Summary by Sections 1. Investment Outlook - ByteDance's Force Conference showcased significant advancements in AI models, with daily token usage exceeding 16.4 trillion, marking a 137-fold increase since its launch [13][15] - OpenAI's release of the o3-pro model enhances complex reasoning capabilities, further driving demand for AI computing [16][17] - Oracle's fourth fiscal quarter results exceeded expectations, with cloud infrastructure revenue projected to grow over 70% in the next fiscal year [18][19] 2. Communication Data Tracking - As of April 2025, China has 4.439 million 5G base stations, with a net increase of 188,000 from the end of 2024 [29] - The number of 5G mobile phone users reached 1.081 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.6% [29] - 5G mobile phone shipments totaled 19.889 million units, accounting for 79.4% of total shipments, although this represents a 1.7% year-on-year decline [29] 3. Operator Performance - The report notes strong growth in the cloud revenue of major telecom operators, with China Mobile's cloud revenue reaching 100.4 billion yuan, a 20.4% increase year-on-year [43] - The average revenue per user (ARPU) for China Mobile remained stable at 48.5 yuan, while China Telecom's ARPU slightly increased to 45.6 yuan [43][46]