信用分析周报：收益率小幅下行，5Y表现较好-20250615

Key Points of the Research Report 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report This week, the credit spreads of different industries were generally compressed slightly, with a small number of industries experiencing significant spread widening. For urban investment bonds, the short - and medium - long - term credit spreads were slightly compressed, while those over 10Y widened slightly. For industrial bonds, the credit spreads fluctuated slightly overall, and those of 5Y and above declined slightly. For bank capital bonds, the short - term credit spreads of bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds widened slightly, while the medium - and long - term spreads were compressed, and the yield curve flattened. It is recommended to continue to focus on 3 - 5Y industrial bonds with yields above 2% and good liquidity, as well as high - coupon urban investment bonds and bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds [3][44]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Overview This Week - Negative News: "H9 Guohou 01" issued by Guohou Asset Management Co., Ltd. was extended; the issuer ratings of Guangdong Montai High - tech Fiber Co., Ltd. and Qingdao Guanzhong Ecological Co., Ltd. were downgraded, and the ratings of "Montai Convertible Bond" and "Guanzhong Convertible Bond" were also downgraded; "H20 Tianying 1" issued by Wuhan Tianying Investment Group Co., Ltd. defaulted, and "H20 Tianying 2" was extended [3]. - Market Analysis: This week, 930.9 billion yuan of reverse repurchases matured in the open market, and the central bank conducted 858.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations, resulting in a net withdrawal of 72.7 billion yuan. DR001 rose from 1.33% at the beginning of the week to 1.45% [3][44]. 3.2 Primary Market - Net Financing Scale: The net financing of traditional credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) was 227.5 billion yuan, an increase of 59 billion yuan compared with last week. The net financing of asset - backed securities was 15 billion yuan, an increase of 5.3 billion yuan. Among them, the net financing of urban investment bonds was 48 billion yuan, an increase of 16.3 billion yuan; that of industrial bonds was 117.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.7 billion yuan; and that of financial bonds was 62.2 billion yuan, an increase of 46.4 billion yuan [7]. - Issuance Quantity: The issuance and redemption quantities of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds all increased compared with last week [8]. - Issuance Cost: The issuance rate of AA - rated industrial bonds decreased significantly by 55BP, mainly due to the low - rate issuance of some bonds. The issuance rate of AA + - rated financial bonds increased significantly by 48BP, mainly due to the high - rate issuance of some bonds. The issuance rates of other bonds changed by no more than 11BP [16]. 3.3 Secondary Market - Trading Volume: The trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) increased by 458 billion yuan compared with last week. The trading volume of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, financial bonds, and asset - backed securities all increased [17]. - Turnover Rate: The turnover rate of credit bonds increased overall. The turnover rates of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, financial bonds, and asset - backed securities all increased [18]. - Yield: The yields of credit bonds decreased overall, and the medium - and long - term (5 - 10Y) performance was better than the short - term. The yields of 5 - 7Y and 7 - 10Y AA - rated credit bonds decreased by 5BP respectively [23]. - Credit Spread - Overall: The credit spreads of different industries were generally compressed slightly, with a small number of industries experiencing significant spread widening. The credit spread of AA + - rated electronics industry widened by 24BP, while that of AA + - rated leisure service industry compressed by 9BP [28]. - Urban Investment Bonds: The short - and medium - long - term credit spreads were slightly compressed, while those over 10Y widened slightly. Most regions' credit spreads were compressed, with a small number of regions experiencing significant spread widening [31][32]. - Industrial Bonds: The credit spreads fluctuated slightly overall, and those of 5Y and above declined slightly [37]. - Bank Capital Bonds: The short - term credit spreads of bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds widened slightly, while the medium - and long - term spreads were compressed, and the yield curve flattened [40]. 3.4 Investment Advice Continue to focus on 3 - 5Y industrial bonds with yields above 2% and good liquidity, as well as high - coupon urban investment bonds and bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds [3][44].