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非银行金融行业周报:券商并购重组主题持续发酵,保险股价值重估行情延续-20250615
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-06-15 14:16

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on four main lines of investment opportunities in the securities sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the main drivers for the brokerage market this week are the easing of US-China negotiations and the ongoing theme of mergers and acquisitions in the industry [2]. - It emphasizes the expected improvement in the performance of the brokerage sector in the first half of 2025, with a notable mismatch between high profitability and low valuations, suggesting a good cost-performance ratio for investments [2]. - The report also notes the potential for significant improvements in the combined ratio (COR) for non-auto insurance due to the implementation of mandatory insurance policies and the introduction of standard clauses for liability insurance [3][4]. Summary by Sections Securities Sector - The report mentions that the China Securities Regulatory Commission approved the Central Huijin Investment to become the actual controller of eight financial institutions, including Changcheng Guorui Securities [2]. - It discusses the upcoming review of the acquisition of Wanhe Securities by Guosen Securities, which is expected to enhance the theme of mergers and acquisitions in the brokerage sector [2]. - The report recommends focusing on the following investment lines: 1. Hong Kong Stock Exchange: Anticipated growth in Average Daily Turnover (ADT) [2]. 2. Sichuan Shuangma: Potential benefits from policy catalysts in the venture capital industry [2]. 3. Brokerage firms with expected performance exceeding expectations in H1 2025 [2]. 4. Multi-financial entities with strong growth certainty, such as Shengye and Jiufang Zhitu [2]. Insurance Sector - The report outlines the introduction of mandatory liability insurance for high-risk industries, which is expected to improve the COR for non-auto insurance significantly [3]. - It details the core content of the new liability insurance standard clauses, including strict insurance responsibilities and fixed medical expense limits [3]. - The report suggests that the insurance sector is likely to undergo a value reassessment, with a focus on low valuations and companies expected to perform well in Q2 [4]. - It highlights the ongoing trend of insurance funds increasing their holdings in high-dividend stocks, particularly in the banking sector [32][33].