Changjiang Securities·2025-06-15 15:17Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the public utility sector in Hong Kong [7]. Core Insights - The significant decline in Hong Kong HIBOR since May has created a favorable environment for investment in the public utility sector, particularly in electricity, which is seen as a defensive asset amid external market volatility [10][11]. - The report highlights that the electricity sector is experiencing a dual benefit from both external market conditions and internal performance improvements, with a notable decrease in coal prices and an increase in renewable energy generation [10][11]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - Since May, the Hong Kong banking sector has seen a 285% increase in interbank liquidity, with HIBOR dropping by 337 basis points, marking the largest monthly decline since 2002. As of June 13, the 1-month HIBOR stabilized around 0.60%, maintaining a near three-year low [10][11]. - The Hang Seng Index rose by 8.02% from May 1 to June 13, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which only increased by 2.48% during the same period [10][11]. Performance of the Electricity Sector - The report notes that the electricity sector is uniquely positioned to benefit from both defensive and offensive strategies, with improved profitability expected due to lower coal prices and stable electricity prices. For instance, the Q5500 coal price at Qinhuangdao port fell to 635.64 CNY/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 212.81 CNY/ton [10][11]. - Renewable energy generation is also on the rise, with wind power generation growth rates improving significantly in recent months, indicating a robust recovery in the sector [10][11]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "carbon neutrality" initiative and ongoing electricity market reforms will lead to a comprehensive reassessment of the intrinsic value of electricity operators throughout the 14th Five-Year Plan period. Key companies to watch include Huadian International, China Resources Power, and Huaneng International, among others [10][11]. - The report emphasizes the potential for long-term growth in the renewable energy sector, recommending investments in companies like Longyuan Power and China Nuclear Power, which are expected to benefit from favorable policy changes and market conditions [10][11].