高盛：股票雷达-市场忽视了 S899，逆势买入的机会

Investment Ratings - Umicore upgraded to Buy from Neutral with a price target implying approximately 35% upside [10] - Aker BP downgraded to Sell due to negative oil view and rising leverage [11] - LVMH maintained Buy rating despite a numbers cut and below consensus earnings view [12][14] - Adecco added to Conviction List with a positive outlook on temp staffing trends [15] - BT Group reiterated Buy rating with a 65% upside potential due to market consolidation [16] Core Insights - The S899 bill may deter foreign investment in the US, potentially leading to a decline in foreign investors' appetite for US assets and further USD weakness [9][10] - Earnings for the STOXX 600 could be revised down by 1-2% in the first year and by as much as 5% over four years due to S899 [9] - The luxury sector, particularly LVMH, is expected to recover despite current earnings challenges, driven by strategic changes and new product launches [12][14] - Utilities are entering a growth phase with increased investment and power demand, particularly in stable, regulated networks [8] Summary by Sections Section S899 - The S899 bill includes provisions that exempt over 50% US ownership, which has raised concerns among investors regarding high US revenue exposure without ownership considerations [1] - Modifications to the bill are anticipated by the upcoming US long weekend, indicating ongoing negotiations [1] European Financials - Positive feedback from the European Financials Conference highlighted resilience in the insurance sector and strong performance in banks, with UBS being a notable session [8] Healthcare Sector - The healthcare sector is seeing positive sentiment around drug pricing policies and advancements in anti-obesity drugs, with several companies rated as Buy [21] China Industrials - Insights from meetings with Chinese companies indicate a positive local demand outlook post-stimulus, with a focus on innovation in new economy sectors [8][23] Utilities - RWE and E.ON are positioned for potential upside due to regulatory reviews and market dynamics, with RWE's EPS estimates potentially increasing by approximately 25% [38][40]