Workflow
股指期货将震荡整理,原油、豆油、棕榈油期货将震荡偏强,黄金、白银、铜、螺纹钢、焦煤、玻璃期货将偏强震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-06-16 03:30
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trends of various futures contracts on June 16, 2025, including股指期货,国债 futures, precious metals futures, base metals futures, energy futures, and agricultural product futures. Geopolitical conflicts and economic data are important factors affecting the market, and short - term events may provide investment opportunities [2]. - Financial总量 continues to grow reasonably, and policies are coordinated to promote economic recovery. In the stock market, short - term events may cause declines, but the long - term value of A - shares and Hong Kong stocks is recognized, with a preference for the pan - technology direction [9][26]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Forecast 3.1.1 Stock Index Futures - On June 13, 2025, major stock index futures contracts such as IF2506, IH2506, IC2506, and IM2506 showed a downward trend, with increased short - term downward pressure. On June 16, they are expected to oscillate and consolidate, with specific resistance and support levels provided. In June 2025, they are expected to be mostly in a strong - oscillation state [22][30]. 3.1.2 Treasury Bond Futures - On June 13, 2025, the ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures showed a slight upward trend. On June 16, the ten - year treasury bond futures are expected to oscillate and consolidate, while the thirty - year treasury bond futures are expected to be in a strong - oscillation state [49][54]. 3.1.3 Precious Metals Futures - On June 13, 2025, gold futures showed an upward trend, and silver futures showed a slight downward trend. On June 16, both are expected to be in a strong - oscillation state. In June 2025, gold is expected to have a strong wide - range oscillation, and silver is expected to be in a strong - oscillation state and may set a new high [57][65]. 3.1.4 Base Metals Futures - On June 13, 2025, the trends of base metals futures varied. Copper, zinc, and nickel showed downward trends, while aluminum, lead, and tin showed upward trends. On June 16, most are expected to be in a strong - oscillation state, except for alumina and zinc which are expected to oscillate weakly or consolidate. In June 2025, their trends also vary [68][83][96]. 3.1.5 Energy Futures - On June 13, 2025, crude oil and fuel oil futures showed significant upward trends. On June 16, crude oil is expected to be in a strong - oscillation state, and fuel oil is expected to have a strong wide - range oscillation. The conflict between Iran and Israel has a significant impact on the energy market [116][124]. 3.1.6 Agricultural Product Futures - On June 13, 2025, the trends of agricultural product futures varied. PTA and methanol showed upward trends, while PVC and soybean meal showed slight downward trends. On June 16, their trends are predicted to be different, with some expected to oscillate strongly, some to oscillate widely, and some to oscillate and consolidate [125][131]. 3.2 Macro - economic Information - President Xi Jinping will attend the Second China - Central Asia Summit. The article by General Secretary Xi Jinping will be published in Qiushi. The State Council has carried out relevant work, and the central bank has released financial data, showing that the financial support for the real economy is stable. The central bank will conduct a 400 billion yuan repurchase operation, and the RMB swap agreement with Turkey has been renewed [8][9][11]. - The conflict between Iran and Israel has intensified, affecting global markets. The US stock market, European stock market, and Middle Eastern stock market have all declined, while the prices of crude oil and precious metals have risen. The market is concerned about the impact of this conflict on the global economy and the supply of crude oil [14][29]. - The eurozone's industrial and trade sectors were significantly impacted in April, with a decline in industrial output and a sharp drop in the trade surplus. The global "super central bank week" is approaching, and the market is awaiting the interest rate decisions of central banks such as the Federal Reserve [19]. 3.3 Commodity Futures - related Information - The CSRC has announced the "Regulations on the Administration of Programmed Trading in the Futures Market (Trial)", which will be implemented on October 9, 2025. International precious metals and oil futures showed an upward trend on June 13, 2025, mainly due to geopolitical tensions. The global physical gold ETF had a net outflow in May 2025 [19][20].