铁矿石：预期反复，区间震荡

Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Group 2: Core View - The report indicates that the iron ore market has repeated expectations and is in a range - bound oscillation [1]. Group 3: Summary of Related Catalogs 1. Fundamental Tracking - Futures Data: The closing price of iron ore futures was 703.0 yuan/ton, down 1.0 yuan/ton or - 0.14%. The position was 695,640 hands, with a decrease of 21,059 hands [1]. - Spot Price: Imported ores such as Carajás fines (65%) dropped 1.0 yuan/ton to 816.0 yuan/ton, PB fines (61.5%) dropped 3.0 yuan/ton to 719.0 yuan/ton, etc. Some domestic ores remained unchanged [1]. - Spread: The basis and inter - contract spreads changed. For example, the basis (12505 vs. Super Special) decreased by 6.3 yuan/ton to 164.1 yuan/ton, and the 12509 - 12601 spread decreased by 2.5 yuan/ton to 30.5 yuan/ton [1]. 2. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of iron ore is 0, indicating a neutral trend. The range of trend intensity is [-2, 2], where - 2 is the most bearish and 2 is the most bullish [2]. 3. Macro and Industry News - As of the end of May, the balance of broad - money (M2) was 325.78 trillion yuan, up 7.9% year - on - year; narrow - money (M1) balance was 108.91 trillion yuan, up 2.3% year - on - year; and the balance of currency in circulation (M0) was 13.13 trillion yuan, up 12.1% year - on - year. A net cash injection of 306.4 billion yuan was made in the first five months [3]. - Guangzhou released a draft plan to boost consumption, including optimizing real - estate policies such as canceling purchase, resale, and price restrictions, and reducing down - payment ratios and loan interest rates [3].