CHINA RES LAND(HK:01109) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-06-16 06:58Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Resources Land (01109.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10][24] Core Views - The company maintains its position among the top three in the industry for sales, with a strong land acquisition strategy and steady growth in recurring income [5][8][10] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected at 28.99 billion, 31.70 billion, and 34.91 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 4.07, 4.45, and 4.90 yuan [5][9] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 6.1, 5.6, and 5.1 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating a favorable valuation [5][9] Sales Performance - In May 2025, the total contract sales amount reached 18.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.4% but a month-on-month increase of 6.1% [6] - The average sales price increased significantly to 26,955 yuan per square meter, up 15.8% year-on-year, despite a decline in sales volume [6][18] Land Acquisition - The company ranked fourth in land acquisition amount from January to May 2025, with a total of 33.16 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 53% [7] - The average land acquisition price was 31,381 yuan per square meter, which is higher than the sales price, indicating a focus on high-quality land in major cities [7] Recurring Income - Recurring income for May 2025 was 4.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, with rental income from operational real estate reaching 2.69 billion yuan, up 13.0% [8] - The company is focusing on core assets by divesting low-efficiency assets, such as the planned sale of the Nanxiang Colorful City project in Shanghai for approximately 300 to 400 million yuan [8]