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星链卫星坠落,低轨卫星新型基础设施价值凸显
Tebon Securities·2025-06-16 07:18

Investment Strategy - The satellite sector is showing a trend of "East rising, West falling," indicating that China may achieve a latecomer advantage in low Earth orbit satellites. The number of Starlink satellites falling has increased significantly, with 316 expected to fall in 2024, compared to only 2 in 2020. This trend correlates with heightened solar activity [12][16] - The "computing satellite" sector is emerging as a new avenue, with China potentially holding a first-mover advantage. The "Star Computing" plan aims to establish a space-based computing network with 2,800 satellites, while the "Three-body Computing Constellation" will achieve a total computing power of 1,000 POPS [13][14] - Four key advantages are expected to establish satellites as a new type of infrastructure: universal connectivity, high-speed communication, large-scale user access, and safety and reliability. Satellite internet can provide access in remote areas, with latency as low as 20-50 milliseconds and peak speeds reaching 500 Mbps [14][15] Industry News - Starlink satellites have been falling at an increasing rate, with over 500 reported to have fallen between 2020 and 2024. This trend provides valuable insights for China's satellite development, helping to avoid similar risks in the future [16][17] - China Mobile has initiated a procurement project for 170,000 data center switches, with Huawei and ZTE among the winning bidders. This reflects ongoing investments in infrastructure to support AI demand [17][18] - China Mobile has successfully launched a trusted data space project for data annotation, which aims to support various sectors including smart vehicles and healthcare, marking a shift towards a more skill-intensive data industry [18][19] - China Post has successfully conducted long-distance cargo transport using fixed-wing drones, marking a significant breakthrough in low-altitude logistics [19] Market Review and Focus - The communication sector saw a slight decline of 0.5% this week, with notable performances in optical modules and low-altitude economy sectors. The satellite internet sector is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity [20][21] - Recommended stocks for next week include companies involved in satellite internet, such as Aerospace Universe and Tianyin Machinery, as well as long-term focus on major telecom operators like China Mobile and China Telecom [24]