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建筑材料行业周报:传统淡季到来,关注改善性需求带来的投资机会-20250616
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES·2025-06-16 07:37

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Recommended" [2][4]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the recent favorable policies in the real estate sector are expected to drive a recovery in industry valuations, particularly benefiting the demand for building materials [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of improving housing demand, which is anticipated to enhance the demand for related building materials products [4][45]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry - In early June, the domestic cement market demand remains weak due to seasonal factors, with an average shipment rate of 45.7%, down approximately 2.3 percentage points month-on-month [4][17]. - Cement prices are under pressure, with some regions experiencing price drops of 10-40 yuan/ton, while others see slight increases of 20-30 yuan/ton [17][19]. - Key companies to watch include Huanxin Cement (600801.SH), Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ), and Conch Cement (600585.SH) [4][6]. Glass Industry - The price of float glass has decreased, with the average price at 1200 yuan/ton, down 7.14 yuan/ton from the previous week [37]. - The supply of float glass has slightly decreased, while downstream consumption remains generally weak, leading to a weak balance in supply and demand [37][39]. - Key companies to focus on include Qibin Group (601636.SH) and Jinjing Technology (600586.SH) [4][5]. Consumer Building Materials - The prices of major raw materials for consumer building materials are on a downward trend year-on-year, which is expected to lower costs and improve profitability [44]. - The report notes that the recent government meeting emphasized the need for a new model in real estate development, which is crucial for stabilizing and activating demand in the building materials sector [45]. - Recommended companies include Weixing New Materials (002372.SZ), Beixin Building Materials (000786.SZ), and Sankeshu (603737.SH) [5][6]. Market Performance - From June 9 to June 13, the building materials index fell by 2.77%, with cement manufacturing down 2.70% and glass manufacturing down 2.77% [9]. - The report indicates that the overall market performance reflects the seasonal slowdown and the impact of external factors such as weather and examination periods [9][17]. Key Financial Metrics - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies, indicating a generally favorable outlook for several firms in the sector [6][7]. - For example, Huanxin Cement has an EPS forecast of 1.16 yuan for 2023, with a PE ratio of 10.4, suggesting a "Buy" rating [6]. Raw Material Prices - The report notes that the prices of key raw materials such as coal and titanium dioxide have shown fluctuations, impacting the cost structure of building materials [44][46]. - The price of coal is reported at 663 yuan/ton, down 6 yuan from the previous week, while titanium dioxide remains stable at 13800 yuan/ton [44]. This comprehensive analysis provides insights into the current state and future outlook of the building materials industry, highlighting key players and market dynamics.