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瑞达期货集运指数(欧线)期货日报-20250616

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - On Monday, the freight index (European line) futures prices declined collectively. The main contract EC2508 dropped 4.04%, and the far - month contracts fell between 1 - 5%. The negative impact of tariff hikes persists. The latest SCFIS European line settlement freight index rose to 1697.63, up 4.6% week - on - week. With the trade war uncertainty, the demand outlook for the freight index (European line) has cooled, and the futures prices are volatile. However, the rapid recovery of spot - end price indicators may drive a short - term rebound in futures prices. Investors are advised to be cautious, control risks, and track geopolitical, capacity, and cargo volume data [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market Data - EC main contract closing price: - 85.5; EC second - main contract closing price: 2030.000, EC2508 - EC2512 spread: 615.30, EC2508 - EC2510 spread: 418.80, EC contract basis: + 112.82, EC main contract open interest: - 1186, with 43658 lots [1]. Spot Market Data - SCFIS (European line) (weekly): 1697.63, up 74.82; SCFIS (US West line) (weekly): 2908.68, up 723.60; SCFI (composite index) (weekly): 2088.24, down 152.11; container ship capacity (10,000 TEUs): 1227.97, unchanged; CCFI (composite index) (weekly): 1243.05, up 88.07; CCFI (European line) (weekly): 1488.87, up 91.85; Baltic Dry Index (daily): 1968.00, down 64.00; Panamax freight index (daily): 1401.00, down 26.00; average charter price (Panamax ship): 11285.00, up 268.00; average charter price (Capesize ship): 28682.00, up 2532.00 [1]. Industry News - Geopolitical: Iran and Israel launched a new round of military strikes on June 15, causing casualties and fires [1]. - Trade: At the WTO's service trade council meeting on June 13, China criticized the US "reciprocal tariff" narrative and urged compliance with WTO rules [1]. - Accident: A plane crash in India's Gujarat state has killed 279 people, and the government will release an investigation report in 3 months [1]. Key Data to Watch - June 17, 17:00: Germany's June ZEW economic sentiment index; Eurozone's June ZEW economic sentiment index - June 17, 20:30: US May retail sales month - on - month rate; US May import price index month - on - month rate - June 17, 21:15: US May industrial production month - on - month rate [1]