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宝城期货国债期货早报-20250617
Bao Cheng Qi Huo·2025-06-17 01:17

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term view of TL2509 is volatile, the medium - term view is volatile, the intraday view is slightly bullish, and the overall view is volatile due to weak macro - economic indicators and rising expectations of monetary easing [1]. - For financial futures index sectors including TL, T, TF, and TS, the intraday view is slightly bullish, the medium - term view is volatile, and the overall view is volatile. In the short term, Treasury bond futures will mainly fluctuate and consolidate. The key factors are the narrowing fluctuations of Treasury bond futures, the easing of market risk - aversion sentiment as the intensity of the Middle - East geopolitical crisis is less likely to escalate, weak credit demand from the real sector despite government bonds supporting social financing data, rising expectations of future monetary policy easing, and the need to focus on the financial policy guidance of the Lujiazui Forum on Wednesday [5]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Index Sector - For TL2509, the short - term is volatile, the medium - term is volatile, the intraday is slightly bullish, with a core logic of weak macro - economic indicators and rising expectations of monetary easing [1]. Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Index Sector - For TL, T, TF, and TS, the intraday view is slightly bullish, the medium - term view is volatile, and the overall view is volatile. The driving factors are the narrow - range fluctuations of Treasury bond futures, the easing of market risk - aversion sentiment, weak real - sector credit demand, rising expectations of monetary policy easing, and the need to focus on the financial policy guidance of the Lujiazui Forum [5].