宝城期货橡胶早报-20250617

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - The report predicts that both the Shanghai rubber futures 2509 contract and the synthetic rubber futures 2508 contract will likely maintain a weak and volatile trend on Tuesday, June 18, 2025 [5][7]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Shanghai Rubber (RU) - Short - term, Medium - term, and Intraday Views: Short - term and medium - term views are "volatile", and the intraday view is "weakly volatile". The reference view is "weak operation" [1][5]. - Core Logic: After the missile exchanges between Iran and Israel over the weekend, Iran took the initiative to ease tensions. The market's concerns about the conflict may subside, and geopolitical factors have weakened. On the night of Monday, domestic energy and chemical commodities such as crude oil and methanol declined, and the bullish sentiment diminished. The Shanghai rubber futures 2509 contract maintained a narrow - range volatile consolidation, with the price slightly rising 0.33% to 13,875 yuan/ton [5]. Synthetic Rubber (BR) - Short - term, Medium - term, and Intraday Views: Short - term and medium - term views are "volatile", and the intraday view is "weakly volatile". The reference view is "weak operation" [1][7]. - Core Logic: Similar to Shanghai rubber, due to the weakening of geopolitical factors and the decline of domestic energy and chemical commodities on the night of Monday, the synthetic rubber futures 2508 contract maintained a narrow - range consolidation, with the price slightly rising 0.22% to 11,300 yuan/ton [7].