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冠通期货早盘速递-20250617
Guan Tong Qi Huo·2025-06-17 01:58

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - In May, China's economic data showed positive trends, with the added - value of industrial enterprises above designated size increasing by 5.8% year - on - year, and retail sales of consumer goods growing by 6.4%. High - end manufacturing and digital economy continued to expand, with the added - value of high - tech manufacturing and digital product manufacturing increasing by 8.6% and 9.1% respectively [2]. - In May, housing prices in all tiers of cities in China declined month - on - month, but the year - on - year decline continued to narrow. Newly - built commercial housing sales area and sales volume decreased by 2.9% and 3.8% respectively from January to May [2]. - Iran may engage in dialogue with the US and Israel and may discuss a proposal to withdraw from the Treaty on the Non - Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons [2]. - OPEC maintained its global crude oil demand growth forecast for 2025 at 1.3 million barrels per day and for 2026 at 1.28 million barrels per day. In May, OPEC +'s average daily crude oil production was 41.23 million barrels, an increase of 180,000 barrels from April [3]. - The price of the main lithium carbonate futures contract 2507 fell below 60,000 yuan per ton, leading to a slowdown in new lithium production capacity and some companies terminating projects. Lithium enterprises are now focusing on overseas expansion [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Hot News - Economic data: In May, the added - value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 5.8% year - on - year, retail sales of consumer goods increased by 6.4%, and the fixed - asset investment from January to May increased by 3.7% year - on - year. High - tech manufacturing and digital product manufacturing showed strong growth [2]. - Housing prices: In May, housing prices in all tiers of cities declined month - on - month, with new home prices in first - and second - tier cities down 0.2% and first - tier city second - hand home prices down 0.7%. The year - on - year decline continued to narrow. From January to May, newly - built commercial housing sales area and sales volume decreased by 2.9% and 3.8% respectively [2]. - International news: Iran may engage in dialogue with the US and Israel and may discuss a proposal to withdraw from the Treaty on the Non - Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons [2]. - Crude oil: OPEC maintained its global crude oil demand growth forecast for 2025 at 1.3 million barrels per day and for 2026 at 1.28 million barrels per day. In May, OPEC +'s average daily crude oil production was 41.23 million barrels, an increase of 180,000 barrels from April [3]. - Lithium market: The price of the main lithium carbonate futures contract 2507 fell below 60,000 yuan per ton, leading to a slowdown in new lithium production capacity and some companies terminating projects. Lithium enterprises are now focusing on overseas expansion [3]. Key Concerns - Key commodities to focus on are urea, asphalt, soybean oil, hot - rolled coils, and Shanghai copper [4]. Night - session Performance No specific performance data is clearly described other than the range of possible changes in the provided charts. Sector Performance - Different commodity sectors had different performances, with precious metals having a 30.87% increase, non - metallic building materials 2.50%, and so on [7]. Performance of Major Asset Classes - Different asset classes had different daily, monthly, and annual returns. For example, the Shanghai Composite Index had a daily increase of 0.35%, a monthly increase of 1.23%, and an annual increase of 1.10% [8][9].