电子行业2025年中期投资策略：算力需求仍将加大，端侧应用加速落地

Group 1 - The electronic industry is expected to see a revenue growth of 17.04% in 2024, with net profit increasing by 24.10% and adjusted net profit rising by 36.12% [13][18] - In Q1 2025, the industry continues to perform well, with a revenue increase of 18.47% year-on-year, and net profit and adjusted net profit growing by 26.92% and 32.12% respectively [18][26] - The recovery in terminal demand and AI innovation are driving positive performance in the electronic industry [13][18] Group 2 - Domestic AI models are rapidly emerging, with DeepSeek achieving performance comparable to international leaders, reducing the competitive gap from over a year to less than three months [29][42] - The introduction of various domestic models, such as DeepSeek R1 and Qwen3, showcases significant advancements in performance and cost-effectiveness compared to international counterparts [29][39] - The pricing of domestic AI model APIs is significantly lower than that of international models, enhancing accessibility for developers [42][46] Group 3 - The demand for computing power is expected to increase, with hardware performance continuing to improve due to the expansion of AI applications [47][50] - Major tech companies are ramping up capital expenditures, with a combined Q1 capital expenditure of approximately $76.6 billion, reflecting a 64% year-on-year increase [56][61] - The AI server market is projected to grow significantly, with an expected shipment of 1.811 million units in 2025, representing a 26.29% year-on-year increase [66][70] Group 4 - The PCB market is anticipated to experience a surge in demand, particularly for high-density interconnect (HDI) boards, driven by the requirements of AI servers [76][79] - The global PCB market is projected to reach $94.661 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 5.2% [78] - Several domestic manufacturers are actively expanding their HDI production capacity to meet the growing demand from AI applications [82]