Ruida Futures(SZ:002961) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-06-18 09:43Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The trade - war uncertainty persists, the demand expectation for the container shipping index (European line) has turned cold, and the futures price fluctuates significantly. However, the rapid recovery of spot - end price indicators may drive the futures price to rise in the short term. Investors are advised to be cautious, pay attention to the operation rhythm and risk control, and track geopolitical, shipping capacity, and cargo volume data in a timely manner [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Data - EC2508 (main contract) closed at 2092.000, up 64.4; EC2510 (sub - main contract) closed at 1427.9, up 16.90. The EC2508 - EC2510 spread was 664.10, up 42.20; the EC2508 - EC2512 spread was 496.40, up 69.40. The EC contract basis was - 54.00, down 394.37. The main contract's open interest was 42767, down 1734 [1]. - The SCFIS (European line) (weekly) was 1697.63, up 74.82; the SCFIS (US West line) (weekly) was 2908.68, up 723.60. The SCFI (composite index) (weekly) was 2088.24, down 152.11. The container ship capacity was 1227.97 (in ten - thousand TEUs), up 1.45 [1]. - The CCFI (composite index) (weekly) was 1243.05, up 88.07; the CCFI (European line) (weekly) was 1488.87, up 91.85. The Baltic Dry Index (daily) was 1952.00, up 23.00; the Panamax Freight Index (daily) was 1406.00, up 4.00 [1]. - The average charter price of Panamax ships was 11285.00, down 165.00; the average charter price of Capesize ships was 28682.00, up 187.00 [1]. Industry News - President Xi Jinping attended the Second China - Central Asia Summit, promoting high - quality development of the Belt and Road Initiative and signing 12 cooperation documents in multiple fields [1]. - Israel attacked Iran, leading to an escalation of the military conflict. The Chinese government is working on protecting Chinese citizens in the two countries and organizing evacuations [1]. - After Israel's attack on Iran, some shipowners are avoiding the Strait of Hormuz, causing freight rates to soar by 24% [1]. - US President Trump increased the tariff on imported steel, aluminum, and their derivatives from 25% to 50% starting from June 4, 2025 [1]. - The Fed's "Beige Book" shows that the US economic activity has declined slightly, with businesses and consumers facing increased policy uncertainty and price pressure [1]. - Although the European manufacturing PMI has rebounded, the overall weak demand pattern is difficult to reverse [1]. Key Events to Watch - The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision (upper limit) as of June 18 will be announced at 02:00 on June 19. The Bank of England's interest rate decision as of June 19 will be announced at 19:00 on June 19 [1].